What Will It Mean for California?The Tobacco Settlement |
Introduction |
The attorneys general of most states and the major United States tobacco companies have agreed to settle more than 40 pending lawsuits brought by states against the tobacco industry. In exchange for dropping their lawsuits and agreeing not to sue in the future, the states will receive billions of dollars in payments from the tobacco companies and the companies will restrict their marketing activities and establish new efforts to curb tobacco consumption. | |
Major Findings |
In this report, we review the settlement agreement and its potential impact on California, answer a number of questions about how the agreement would work, and raise a number of issues for consideration by the Legislature. | |
Considerations
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The settlement is projected to result in payments to California of $25 billion through
2025. The amount will be split between the state and local governments (all 58 counties
and four cities). There are no restrictions on the use of the money. There are, however, a
number of uncertainties surrounding how much money California will actually receive.
The 1999-00 Governor's Budget assumes the receipt of $562 million in the budget year,
which is equivalent to the first two payments to the state.
Although the settlement does not require any action by the Legislature in order to take effect, we suggest that the Legislature:
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On November 16, 1998, the attorneys general of eight states (including California) and the nation's four major tobacco companies agreed to settle more than 40 pending lawsuits brought by states against the tobacco industry. The agreement will result in significant new revenues to the state and local governments. In addition, it could result in reductions in smoking by citizens and thus have positive impacts on public health. In this report, we review the settlement agreement and its potential impact on California, answer a number of questions about how the settlement would work, and raise a number of issues for consideration by the Legislature.
The settlement agreement calls for financial payments to the states, the creation of a national foundation to develop an antismoking advertising and education program, and the establishment of certain advertising restrictions to benefit public health. Figure 1 summarizes the key features of the agreement, many of which are discussed in more detail below.
Figure 1 | ||
Key Features of the Tobacco Settlement | ||
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How Many States Are Part of the Agreement? Nationally, the attorneys general of 46 states and various territories have now signed on to the settlement proposal. The remaining four states--Florida, Minnesota, Mississippi, and Texas--had previously settled their cases with the tobacco industry.
What Companies Are Part of the Agreement? The four major tobacco companies that negotiated the agreement are Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corporation, Lorillard Tobacco Company, Philip Morris Incorporated, and R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company. These four manufacturers account for more than 95 percent of the total sales of cigarettes nationally. Since the release of the settlement, most of the remaining smaller tobacco manufacturers have joined the agreement, so that the market share of the participating tobacco companies accounts for about 99.7 percent of total national sales.
Does the Settlement Require Validation? Under the terms of the settlement proposal, the courts in each participating state must approve the agreement. The settlement does not require that any explicit action be taken by the state legislatures. As we discuss later, however, the Legislature may wish to consider several actions related to the settlement.
In California, on December 9, 1998, the settlement agreement was approved by the San Diego Superior Court, where the state's case was being litigated. The settlement will become final in California if there are no appeals within 60 days of the court's decision. California was the nineteenth state whose court has approved the agreement. So far no court in any other state has rejected the settlement.
The settlement agreement requires the tobacco companies to make payments to the states in perpetuity, with the payments totaling an estimated $206 billion through 2025 nationally. These funds will be divided among the states based on allocation percentages negotiated by the attorneys general. These allocation percentages are based on a variety of factors such as population and cigarette sales within the state. These state allocation percentages will not change over time. In order to pay for the settlement, the tobacco companies have raised the price per pack of cigarettes by 45 cents.
How Much Money Will California Get? California is projected to receive an estimated $25 billion through 2025, or about 12.8 percent of the total monies allocated for the states--the highest percentage of any of the state's participating in the agreement. While the average annual payment to California is estimated to be approximately $925 million, as can be seen in Figure 2, the estimated amount of funding per year changes considerably over time. California's share of the 1998 payment is estimated to be $306 million and there is no scheduled payment in 1999 under the terms of the settlement. New York has the next highest allocation percentage, an amount that is very close to California's allocation percentage.
Figure 2 | |||
Estimated Annual Tobacco Settlement Payments to California | |||
1998 Through 2025
(In Millions) | |||
Year | State | Locala | Total |
1998 | $153 | $153 | $306 |
1999 | -- | -- | -- |
2000 | 409 | 409 | 818 |
2001 | 442 | 442 | 884 |
2002 | 531 | 531 | 1,061 |
2003 | 536 | 536 | 1,071 |
2004 through 2007b | 447 | 447 | 894 |
2008 through 2017b | 456 | 456 | 912 |
2018 through 2025b | 511 | 511 | 1,022 |
Totals | $12,503 | $12,503 | $25,007 |
a Includes all 58 counties and the four cities of Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco, and San Jose. | |||
b Each year. | |||
The 1999-00 Governor's Budget assumes the receipt of $562 million to the state's General Fund in 1999-00--the state's 1998 payment ($153 million) and 2000 payment ($409 million).
Who Gets the Money? Several California jurisdictions, including Los Angeles County and the City and County of San Francisco, had filed their own lawsuits against the tobacco companies. On August 5, 1998, the Attorney General entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with the local governments to coordinate their lawsuits with the state's suit and provide for the allocation of any monies recovered. The terms of the MOU include an even, 50-50, split of the financial recovery between the state and the local governments that sign onto the deal. Thus, the estimated $25 billion to be allocated pursuant to the tobacco settlement would be split between the state and local governments with each receiving $12.5 billion.
The local share will be further split between the counties and specified cities. Under the terms of the MOU, the state's 58 counties will receive 90 percent of the local share, or $11.25 billion. These monies will be distributed to the counties based on population.
The remaining 10 percent, or $1.25 billion, will be split equally among four specified cities--Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco, and San Jose. The MOU limits the recovery to these cities who could have filed an independent lawsuit pursuant to a specific provision of the Business and Professions Code.
Local governments do not automatically receive the funds unless they join the settlement and agree to its terms. To the extent that a county or city chooses not to participate, the monies that they could have otherwise received would be redistributed to the state and local governments.
Appendix 1 provides a breakdown of the estimated $12.5 billion going to the local governments as a result of the settlement. The table assumes that all of the local governments join the settlement.
How Can the Money Be Spent? The tobacco settlement agreement places no restrictions on the use of the monies by the states. Similarly, California's MOU with local governments contains no restrictions.
Many of the state and local lawsuits (including California's) had sought recovery from the tobacco companies of the tobacco-related health care costs (such as Medi-Cal) incurred by states and local governments. The settlement agreement and California's MOU with the local governments do not specify that any of the financial payments by the companies are to reimburse state and local governments for such costs.
Absent specific action by the Legislature, the funds received by the state from the settlement would be deposited into the General Fund. Because the money is not a proceed of taxes, it would not be counted as revenues for purposes of calculating the minimum guarantee under Proposition 98.
Does the Settlement Money Count Towards the VLF Trigger? As part of the 1998-99 budget package, the Legislature and Governor agreed to certain cuts in the state's vehicle license fee (VLF) in future years if specified revenue forecasts (or "triggers") are reached. We believe that the additional General Fund revenues from the tobacco settlement would be counted toward the triggers. Based on our most recent revenue projections, however, revenues from the settlement would not be enough by themselves to pull a trigger and generate an additional cut in the VLF. However, the settlement monies would bring General Fund revenues closer to the levels that would activate the trigger, and if revenues increase beyond current projected levels could result in an additional VLF cut in the future.
When Will the Money Be Available? The settlement agreement sets forth a payment and distribution schedule for the monies to the states. The tobacco companies will make payments into an escrow account. However, none of the money would be distributed to the states from the escrow account until there is a "final approval" of the agreement.
"Final approval" is defined in the agreement as the earlier of (1) June 30, 2000 or (2) when 80 percent of the states, representing 80 percent of the allocated distribution, obtain approval of their consent decrees and all challenges and appeals are heard by their state courts. Currently, it is unknown when final approval will be achieved, but it is likely that it will occur before June 30, 2000 (within the state's 1999-00 fiscal year).
As part of the settlement, the tobacco companies will make a total of $12 billion in "up-front" payments. The first payment of $2.4 billion was paid to the escrow account by the end of 1998. Additional up-front payments of $2.4 billion will be made each January in 2000, 2001, 2002, and 2003. Annual payments will begin on April 15, 2000 and will be made in the following increments:
Our review finds that there are a number of factors that could have an impact on the amount of dollars available to California, especially in the long run. Most of these uncertainties would result in the state receiving less money than projected or receiving money with restricted uses, although two of the uncertainties could actually result in the state receiving more money.
Actions of the Federal Government That Could Offset Payments. The agreement has provisions to reduce the payments to the states in the event that the federal government takes certain specified actions against the tobacco companies by November 30, 2002. Specifically, if the Congress enacts legislation that provides for payments by the tobacco manufacturers (whether by settlement payment, tax, or other means), which the federal government then makes available to the states for health-related, tobacco-related, or for unrestricted purposes, the tobacco companies could offset their payments to the states by that amount. Under this scenario, the state might receive the same overall amount of money it would have otherwise received, but with the federal government setting the priorities or with significant strings attached. Neither the Congress nor the President have announced any intention to take such actions at this time; nevertheless, such actions remain a possibility in the future.
Actions of the Federal Government to Seek Reimbursement for Health Care Costs. The federal government shares with the states the costs of the Medicaid Program (Medi-Cal in California). Although the settlement with the states is not based on reimbursing states for costs of treating tobacco-related illnesses under Medicaid, federal law generally requires federal agencies to seek reimbursements for the federal share of any Medicaid costs. As a consequence, it is possible that the federal government could seek reimbursement for its tobacco-related Medicaid costs, either by seeking a share of the states' settlement funds or by taking legal action against tobacco companies in federal court. To the extent that federal authorities are successful in obtaining part of the settlement funds, this would reduce the amount of funds retained by the states. In addition, to the extent that a federal court action results in a large payout by the tobacco companies to the federal government, the companies may become less solvent and less able to make the payments to the states as specified in the states' settlement. Federal authorities have not indicated whether they plan to undertake such actions relative to this settlement. However, in response to a previously proposed settlement, they had indicated that they would seek a share of the funds.
Drop in Cigarette Sales. The settlement agreement contains provisions that allow the tobacco companies to decrease the amount they pay to the states if the nationwide sales of cigarettes decrease. Specifically, each year the amount of the payment to the states will be adjusted based on the volume of cigarettes shipped within the U.S. for sale. To the extent that this volume drops, the payments to states will decrease over time. The tobacco companies have raised their price per pack by 45 cents in order to pay for the settlement. To the extent that the increase in the price per pack reduces the amount of cigarettes consumed, the payments to the states would decrease over time.
This volume adjustment is based on nationwide sales, not just sales within California. This could minimize any negative financial impact on California since tobacco sales are more likely to decline faster in California than in the rest of the country due to (1) the additional 50 cents per pack tax placed on cigarettes beginning on January 1, 1999 as a result of Proposition 10 (discussed in greater detail below), and (2) the existing antismoking campaign that already exists in California that is funded from Proposition 99 monies.
Lawsuits by Nonparticipating Local Governments. If a local government does not join in the settlement but rather continues with a lawsuit against the tobacco companies, the local government would not receive any funds from the settlement. The share that they would be eligible for under the terms of the MOU would be divided by the state and the other participating local governments. However, any award, judgment, or settlement won by a nonparticipating local government would be offset against tobacco companies' payments to the entire state. At this time, based on informal discussions with local governments, it seems likely that most, if not all, local governments in California will participate in the state settlement.
Tobacco Company Bankruptcy. The tobacco settlement was entered into with the U.S. manufacturing subsidiaries of the tobacco companies. As a consequence, the parent companies are not responsible for payments to the states should one of the subsidiaries go bankrupt. Bankruptcy by one or more of the tobacco manufacturers is a possibility given that the manufacturers still face potential lawsuits from individuals and class actions. For example, there is currently a class action case in Florida against the tobacco manufacturers seeking $200 billion.
Should one or more of the tobacco companies declare bankruptcy, the amount of money going to the states could decrease significantly. The remaining companies would not be responsible for paying the obligation of the bankrupt companies.
Reduction in Market Share of Settling Companies. Over time, the payments of the participating manufacturers can decrease if they lose market share to nonparticipating manufacturers. Under the terms of the agreement, the states can protect themselves against a reduction in payments by passing a "model statute" included in the agreement that would require nonparticipating manufacturers to put funds into escrow accounts for 25 years equivalent to the amounts paid by the participating manufacturers.
This possibility of reduced payments due to a decline in market share is probably not a major concern. This is because, as indicated earlier, most of the smaller tobacco manufacturers have now agreed to the deal. Under the terms of the deal, the public health provisions of the agreement will apply to these companies. Should their market share increase to a specified level, they will become responsible for making payments corresponding to those due by the original participating companies. States would not receive any additional monies, but the shares paid by individual companies would change.
Increased Payments From the "Strategic Contribution." From 2008 through 2017, the tobacco companies will provide a "strategic contribution" of $861 million per year to the states in excess of the other payments. How these funds are allocated among the states will be determined by a panel committee of three former attorneys general. The criteria for the allocation of the strategic contribution will take into account each state's contribution to the litigation. California was a relatively late entrant among states to the litigation, which may hurt the state's chances of receiving a significant portion of the strategic contribution. However, the fact that the California Attorney General was one of the eight attorneys general that negotiated the agreement and the sheer size of the state's case against the companies may offset any disadvantage.
Increases Due to Inflation Adjustments. The payments made by the tobacco companies will increase above the currently estimated amounts due to an inflation adjustment. The future tobacco payments will be adjusted annually by 3 percent or the national Consumer Price Index (CPI), whichever is greater. Thus, to the extent that the volume of cigarettes shipped within the U.S. does not decrease, the total payments to the states will increase.
The tobacco settlement agreement likely brings to a close various state and local government litigation against the tobacco companies and has a number of legal implications.
What Happens to the State's Case as a Result of the Settlement? On June 12, 1997, the California Attorney General filed a lawsuit against the major tobacco companies in the Sacramento Superior Court containing four causes of action, as shown in Figure 3. By the time of the settlement agreement, two of the causes of action had already been dismissed by the court and two others were yet to be addressed by the court.
Figure 3 | ||
What California Alleged in Its Lawsuit Against the Tobacco Companies | ||
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Upon approval of the consent decree in the state court, the state's case against the tobacco companies will be considered settled. As previously indicated, the San Diego Superior Court approved the consent decree on December 9 and the settlement becomes final 60 days later unless the court order is challenged during that period. The settlement agreement generally releases the signing tobacco companies from any future lawsuits by the state and local governments that participate in the settlement.
How Is the Settlement Different From a Resolution Resulting From a Trial? It is difficult to say with a high level of certainty how a trial on California's lawsuit against the tobacco companies would have ended. It seems unlikely, however, that a court would have ordered provisions related to public health that the tobacco companies subsequently agreed to in the settlement (for example, restrictions on advertising and corporate sponsorship). It is not clear whether the monetary provisions provided in the settlement agreement are greater than the state would have obtained if it had won its case in court. However, because the companies have agreed to the settlement, it is likely that money will flow to the state more quickly and easily since the companies would likely have appealed a court decision.
Can Californians File Lawsuits as Individuals or in Class Action Lawsuits Against the Tobacco Companies? While the settlement places restrictions on future lawsuits by governmental entities, lawsuits by individuals and classes of individuals against the tobacco companies could still go forward.
How Will the Settlement Be Enforced? The agreement provides the state courts with jurisdiction over implementing and enforcing the settlement. The state or the tobacco companies may apply to the court to enforce the terms of the agreement. If the court issues an order enforcing the agreement and a party violates that order, the court may order monetary, civil contempt, or criminal sanctions to enforce compliance.
On March 31, 1999, the tobacco manufacturers will pay $50 million which will be used to assist the states in enforcing and implementing the agreement and to investigate and litigate potential violations of state tobacco laws. Additionally, the National Association of Attorneys General will receive $150,000 per year until 2007 for oversight costs associated with monitoring potential conflicting court interpretations involving the settlement, and assisting states with inspection and discovery activities conducted to enforce the settlement.
The settlement includes a number of provisions agreed to by the tobacco companies that are designed to reduce smoking and thus improve public health. Figure 4 summarizes the major public health-related provisions of the agreement.
Figure 4 | |
Major Provisions Related to Public Health | |
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It is unknown how effective these provisions will be. It should be noted, however, that some of the efforts that will be established as a result of the settlement, such as advertising and education programs to combat smoking, already exist in California and are supported with Proposition 99 funds.
The current agreement is the culmination of efforts to settle state lawsuits against the tobacco companies that have been ongoing for several years.
In mid-1997, the attorneys general of 40 states and the companies worked out the so-called "global settlement" agreement. Under this agreement, the companies would have made major monetary payments to the states. These payments would be in exchange for certain enactment of laws by Congress which would have essentially halted much of the litigation against the tobacco industry and placed certain restrictions on future litigation against the industry, including no punitive damages, no class actions, and an annual cap on damage payments. Although federal legislation was introduced to enact the global settlement, as well as legislation that went far beyond that settlement, Congress did not pass any legislation. The current multistate settlement requires no legislative action by Congress.
The current settlement does not provide for payments as large as the global settlement. The global settlement proposed $368 billion over 25 years in payments to the states as opposed to the current agreement which is $206 billion over 25 years.
From a public health standpoint, probably the most significant policy difference between the two settlements is that the global settlement would have changed current federal law to allow the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to regulate tobacco. In addition, the global settlement contained somewhat broader restrictions on the content of tobacco company advertising than the current settlement, although the current agreement contains broader restrictions on the placement of advertising. The global settlement contained so-called "look-back" provisions that would have penalized tobacco companies if youth smoking did not decline over time. However, only the current settlement includes establishment of a national foundation to study youth smoking and fund antismoking advertising.
As indicated earlier, four states (Florida, Minnesota, Mississippi, and Texas) all have previously settled their cases against the tobacco companies with conditions and provisions similar to those of the current settlement. The amount of money projected for California under the current settlement, on a per capita basis, is similar to the amounts projected for Florida and Texas. However, in Mississippi, which was the first state to file a lawsuit, and in Minnesota, which settled just prior to the end of the trial, the per capita amounts were much greater than for California in the current multistate agreement.
Proposition 10, enacted by the voters in the November 1998 election, created the California Children and Families First Program. This program will fund early
childhood development programs from revenues generated by increases in the state excise tax on cigarettes and other tobacco products. The measure increases
the excise tax on cigarettes by 50 cents per pack beginning January 1, 1999, bringing the total state excise tax to
87 cents per pack. The measure also will increase the excise tax on other types of tobacco products (such as cigars, chewing tobacco, pipe tobacco, and snuff)
beginning July 1, 1999.
Although both the tobacco agreement and Proposition 10 will generate substantial additional revenues to the state and local governments in California, their similarities end there. The major difference between the two is that Proposition 10 revenues can only be used for specified purposes allocated by local commissions, whereas there are no restrictions on the use of the tobacco settlement monies by the state or local governments.
Figure 5 compares the major features of the tobacco settlement and Proposition 10. Appendix 2 shows our estimate of the revenues to the individual counties resulting from the measure for 1998-99 (partial-year implementation) and 1999-00 (full-year implementation). (For additional information on Proposition 10, please see our recent report Proposition 10: How Does It Work and What Role Should the Legislature Play in Its Implementation?
Figure 5 | ||
Comparison of Tobacco Settlement and Proposition 10 | ||
Tobacco Settlement | Proposition 10 | |
Revenue | $800 million to $1 billion annually, split 50-50 between state and local governments | $690 million in 1999-00 declining slightly in subsequent yearsa |
Use of funds | No restrictions | Restricted to child development programs |
Projected revenue | Significant uncertainty, especially in the long run | Likely to decline slowly |
Control of funds | State and locally elected officials | County-appointed commission and state commission |
How funds generated | Payments from tobacco companies (passed on to consumer) | New state tax on tobacco products |
Effective date | 1999-00 | January 1, 1999 |
a Legislative Analyst's Office estimate. | ||
As indicated previously, the agreement does not require any action by the Legislature in order to take effect. However, the agreement raises a number of issues that the Legislature will need to consider.
Despite the uncertainties outlined above, we believe that it is relatively certain that the state will receive the projected amounts of revenues from the settlement at least in the short run (the next three years or so). However, several of the uncertainties, such as potential declines in smoking and future actions of the federal government, make the long-term funding levels much more questionable.
Given the long-term uncertainties about the revenues, we recommend that the Legislature refrain from dedicating the tobacco settlement monies to support
specific new ongoing programs. Rather, we believe that it would be more fiscally prudent to reexamine the settlement projections regularly and continue to
deposit the money in the General Fund without specific earmarking for a particular program. Should the Legislature wish to establish new programs, such
programs should compete for revenues from the General Fund with all other legislative priorities. Our recommended approach is consistent with the Governor's
1999-00 budget proposal.
Since the property tax shifts of the early 1990s, the Legislature has taken many actions to bolster the fiscal condition of California's local governments. For example, the Legislature has acted to provide cities and counties: Proposition 172 sales tax revenues, relief from trial court funding reform, and programs to support local law enforcement. Combined, these revenues offset more than 60 percent of the ongoing revenue loss due to the property tax shift. For 1998-99, we estimate that the "net harm" to local governments associated with the property tax shift is about $1.4 billion.
As shown in Figure 2, the tobacco settlement is expected to provide to local governments $153 million in the first year, rising to about $500 million annually within a few years. In the case of some California cities and counties, these settlement revenues will restore (or improve) the locality's fiscal condition relative to the locality's fiscal condition prior to the property tax shifts. Other cities and counties, while still benefiting significantly from the cigarette settlement, will not find that these settlement revenues fully "make up" the fiscal hole caused by the property tax shift. As the Legislature contemplates proposals for local fiscal relief in the future, we recommend that the Legislature keep in mind these additional financial resources provided through the settlement.
The settlement establishes a national foundation to combat smoking and includes a total of $1.45 billion in payments from the tobacco companies for establishment of a national tobacco control public education campaign and $25 million per year to study programs to reduce teen smoking. It is not clear how these monies will be used at this time. However, it seems likely that such efforts could complement or supplement the state's existing efforts to curb tobacco consumption. For this reason, it will be important for the administration and the Legislature to closely monitor implementation of these provisions of the settlement and make adjustments to the state's programs as necessary.
The settlement agreement includes model legislation that would protect the payments made to the state from decreasing as a result of loss of market share or entry into the market by new tobacco companies. In view of this fiscal issue, we believe that the Legislature may want to consider enacting the model legislation.
The tobacco settlement will result in significant additional resources to California's state and local governments. As the Legislature debates its approach toward utilizing these funds, it is critical that the uncertainties surrounding the level of funds the state will receive in the future be taken into account.
Estimated Annual Payments to Local Governments From Tobacco Settlementa | |||||||||
1998 Through 2025
(In Thousands) | |||||||||
Local Government | 1998 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004-2007 Per Year | 2008-2017 Per Year | 2018-2025 Per Year | Total |
Alameda County | $5,925 | $15,830 | $17,094 | $20,524 | $20,719 | $17,292 | $17,635 | $19,761 | $483,696 |
Alpine County | 5 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 421 |
Amador County | 139 | 372 | 401 | 482 | 487 | 406 | 414 | 464 | 11,359 |
Butte County | 844 | 2,254 | 2,434 | 2,922 | 2,950 | 2,462 | 2,511 | 2,813 | 68,865 |
Calaveras County | 148 | 396 | 428 | 513 | 518 | 433 | 441 | 494 | 12,099 |
Colusa County | 75 | 201 | 217 | 261 | 264 | 220 | 224 | 251 | 6,154 |
Contra Costa County | 3,723 | 9,946 | 10,740 | 12,896 | 13,018 | 10,865 | 11,080 | 12,416 | 303,915 |
Del Norte County | 109 | 290 | 313 | 376 | 380 | 317 | 323 | 362 | 8,871 |
El Dorado County | 584 | 1,559 | 1,684 | 2,022 | 2,041 | 1,703 | 1,737 | 1,946 | 47,642 |
Fresno County | 3,092 | 8,260 | 8,920 | 10,710 | 10,811 | 9,023 | 9,202 | 10,311 | 252,398 |
Glenn County | 115 | 307 | 331 | 398 | 402 | 335 | 342 | 383 | 9,377 |
Humboldt County | 552 | 1,474 | 1,592 | 1,911 | 1,929 | 1,610 | 1,642 | 1,840 | 45,042 |
Imperial County | 506 | 1,353 | 1,461 | 1,754 | 1,770 | 1,478 | 1,507 | 1,689 | 41,331 |
Inyo County | 85 | 226 | 244 | 293 | 296 | 247 | 252 | 282 | 6,913 |
Kern County | 2,517 | 6,725 | 7,262 | 8,720 | 8,803 | 7,347 | 7,492 | 8,396 | 205,505 |
Kings County | 470 | 1,256 | 1,356 | 1,628 | 1,643 | 1,372 | 1,399 | 1,567 | 38,368 |
Lake County | 235 | 627 | 677 | 812 | 820 | 684 | 698 | 782 | 19,145 |
Lassen County | 128 | 342 | 369 | 443 | 447 | 373 | 380 | 426 | 10,436 |
Los Angeles County | 41,055 | 109,681 | 118,437 | 142,209 | 143,554 | 119,812 | 122,189 | 136,918 | 3,351,422 |
Los Angeles, City of | 3,829 | 10,230 | 11,047 | 13,264 | 13,389 | 11,175 | 11,397 | 12,770 | 312,587 |
Madera County | 408 | 1,090 | 1,177 | 1,413 | 1,427 | 1,191 | 1,214 | 1,361 | 33,309 |
Marin County | 1,066 | 2,847 | 3,075 | 3,692 | 3,727 | 3,110 | 3,172 | 3,555 | 87,006 |
Mariposa County | 66 | 177 | 191 | 229 | 232 | 193 | 197 | 221 | 5,408 |
Mendocino County | 372 | 994 | 1,074 | 1,289 | 1,301 | 1,086 | 1,108 | 1,241 | 30,381 |
Merced County | 826 | 2,208 | 2,384 | 2,862 | 2,890 | 2,412 | 2,459 | 2,756 | 67,459 |
Modoc County | 45 | 120 | 129 | 155 | 157 | 131 | 133 | 150 | 3,660 |
Mono County | 46 | 123 | 133 | 160 | 161 | 135 | 137 | 154 | 3,765 |
Monterey County | 1,647 | 4,401 | 4,753 | 5,707 | 5,761 | 4,808 | 4,903 | 5,494 | 134,485 |
Napa County | 513 | 1,371 | 1,480 | 1,777 | 1,794 | 1,497 | 1,527 | 1,711 | 41,883 |
Nevada County | 364 | 972 | 1,049 | 1,260 | 1,272 | 1,061 | 1,082 | 1,213 | 29,687 |
Orange County | 11,166 | 29,830 | 32,212 | 38,677 | 39,043 | 32,586 | 33,232 | 37,238 | 911,502 |
Placer County | 800 | 2,138 | 2,309 | 2,772 | 2,799 | 2,336 | 2,382 | 2,669 | 65,339 |
Plumas County | 91 | 244 | 264 | 317 | 320 | 267 | 272 | 305 | 7,464 |
Riverside County | 5,421 | 14,484 | 15,640 | 18,779 | 18,957 | 15,822 | 16,136 | 18,080 | 442,568 |
Sacramento County | 4,823 | 12,885 | 13,914 | 16,706 | 16,864 | 14,075 | 14,354 | 16,085 | 393,716 |
San Benito County | 170 | 454 | 490 | 589 | 594 | 496 | 506 | 567 | 13,876 |
San Bernardino County | 6,570 | 17,552 | 18,954 | 22,758 | 22,973 | 19,174 | 19,554 | 21,911 | 536,331 |
San Diego County | 11,571 | 30,913 | 33,381 | 40,080 | 40,460 | 33,768 | 34,438 | 38,589 | 944,573 |
San Diego, City of | 3,829 | 10,230 | 11,047 | 13,264 | 13,389 | 11,175 | 11,397 | 12,770 | 312,587 |
San Francisco, City and County of | 7,183 | 19,189 | 20,721 | 24,880 | 25,115 | 20,961 | 21,377 | 23,954 | 586,337 |
San Joaquin County | 2,226 | 5,948 | 6,423 | 7,712 | 7,785 | 6,497 | 6,626 | 7,425 | 181,740 |
San Luis Obispo County | 1,006 | 2,687 | 2,902 | 3,484 | 3,517 | 2,936 | 2,994 | 3,355 | 82,115 |
San Mateo County | 3,009 | 8,039 | 8,681 | 10,423 | 10,522 | 8,782 | 8,956 | 10,035 | 245,642 |
Santa Barbara County | 1,712 | 4,574 | 4,939 | 5,930 | 5,986 | 4,996 | 5,095 | 5,710 | 139,760 |
Santa Clara County | 6,937 | 18,532 | 20,012 | 24,028 | 24,256 | 20,244 | 20,646 | 23,135 | 566,278 |
San Jose, City of | 3,829 | 10,230 | 11,047 | 13,264 | 13,389 | 11,175 | 11,397 | 12,770 | 312,587 |
Santa Cruz County | 1,064 | 2,843 | 3,070 | 3,686 | 3,721 | 3,106 | 3,167 | 3,549 | 86,869 |
Shasta County | 681 | 1,820 | 1,965 | 2,359 | 2,382 | 1,988 | 2,027 | 2,271 | 55,599 |
Sierra County | 15 | 41 | 44 | 53 | 54 | 45 | 46 | 51 | 1,255 |
Siskiyou County | 202 | 539 | 582 | 698 | 705 | 588 | 600 | 672 | 16,460 |
Solano County | 1,577 | 4,213 | 4,549 | 5,462 | 5,514 | 4,602 | 4,693 | 5,259 | 128,723 |
Sonoma County | 1,798 | 4,804 | 5,188 | 6,229 | 6,288 | 5,248 | 5,352 | 5,997 | 146,798 |
Stanislaus County | 1,716 | 4,585 | 4,951 | 5,945 | 6,001 | 5,009 | 5,108 | 5,724 | 140,105 |
Sutter County | 298 | 797 | 861 | 1,034 | 1,043 | 871 | 888 | 995 | 24,357 |
Tehama County | 230 | 614 | 663 | 796 | 804 | 671 | 684 | 767 | 18,765 |
Trinity County | 61 | 162 | 175 | 210 | 212 | 177 | 180 | 202 | 4,940 |
Tulare County | 1,445 | 3,860 | 4,168 | 5,005 | 5,052 | 4,217 | 4,300 | 4,819 | 117,945 |
Tuolumne County | 224 | 600 | 648 | 777 | 785 | 655 | 668 | 749 | 18,323 |
Ventura County | 3,099 | 8,279 | 8,940 | 10,734 | 10,836 | 9,044 | 9,223 | 10,335 | 252,975 |
Yolo County | 654 | 1,746 | 1,885 | 2,264 | 2,285 | 1,907 | 1,945 | 2,180 | 53,351 |
Yuba County | 270 | 721 | 778 | 934 | 943 | 787 | 803 | 900 | 22,018 |
Totals | $153,167 | $409,196 | $441,866 | $530,552 | $535,573 | $446,993 | $455,864 | $510,813 | $12,503,486 |
a Assumes all eligible local governments participate in tobacco settlement. | |||||||||
Appendix 2
Estimated County Allocation of Proposition 10 Revenuesa | |||||
(In Thousands) | |||||
County | 1998-99 | 1999-00 | County | 1998-99 | 1999-00 |
Alameda | $11,370 | $21,631 | Orange | 26,000 | 49,464 |
Alpine | 4 | 7 | Placer | 1,427 | 2,716 |
Amador | 148 | 281 | Plumas | 85 | 162 |
Butte | 1,234 | 2,347 | Riverside | 12,768 | 24,290 |
Calaveras | 179 | 341 | Sacramento | 9,479 | 18,033 |
Colusa | 168 | 320 | San Benito | 486 | 925 |
Contra Costa | 6,731 | 12,806 | San Bernardino | 15,505 | 29,498 |
Del Norte | 177 | 337 | San Diego | 23,683 | 45,056 |
El Dorado | 912 | 1,735 | San Francisco | 4,488 | 8,537 |
Fresno | 7,729 | 14,704 | San Joaquin | 4,774 | 9,082 |
Glenn | 234 | 445 | San Luis Obispo | 1,364 | 2,595 |
Humboldt | 809 | 1,540 | San Mateo | 5,503 | 10,468 |
Imperial | 1,304 | 2,480 | Santa Barbara | 3,170 | 6,030 |
Inyo | 104 | 198 | Santa Clara | 14,464 | 27,516 |
Kern | 6,171 | 11,740 | Santa Cruz | 1,949 | 3,707 |
Kings | 1,141 | 2,171 | Shasta | 1,095 | 2,083 |
Lake | 309 | 589 | Sierra | 7 | 12 |
Lassen | 180 | 342 | Siskiyou | 233 | 443 |
Los Angeles | 88,719 | 168,783 | Solano | 2,998 | 5,703 |
Madera | 1,088 | 2,070 | Sonoma | 2,962 | 5,634 |
Marin | 1,451 | 2,761 | Stanislaus | 3,718 | 7,073 |
Mariposa | 74 | 141 | Sutter | 663 | 1,260 |
Mendocino | 561 | 1,068 | Tehama | 343 | 653 |
Merced | 1,977 | 3,760 | Trinity | 55 | 104 |
Modoc | 54 | 102 | Tulare | 3,797 | 7,223 |
Mono | 65 | 123 | Tuolumne | 256 | 486 |
Monterey | 3,679 | 7,000 | Ventura | 6,177 | 11,751 |
Napa | 821 | 1,561 | Yolo | 1,153 | 2,194 |
Nevada | 436 | 829 | Yuba | 573 | 1,090 |
Totals | $287,000 | $546,000 | |||
a Based on Legislative Analyst's Office Revenue Estimates. | |||||
Acknowledgments This report was prepared by Alexander S. MacBain, under the supervision of Craig Cornett. The Legislative Analyst's Office (LAO) is a nonpartisan office which provides fiscal and policy information and advice to the Legislature. | LAO Publications
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