Economy and Taxes Publications

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AB32: Analysis of the Net Impact On California Jobs

March 4, 2010 - This responds to Senator Cogdill's request for an analysis of the net impact on jobs in California that would occur as a result of the implementation of AB 32 (Núñez), the Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006, Chapter 488, Statutes of 2006. In our response, we briefly summarize the basic provisions of AB 32 and its planned implementation through the California Air Resources Board’s (CARB’s) Scoping Plan (SP), discuss the avenues by which the SP would potentially affect California jobs, and present the jobs-related effects of the SP as estimated by CARB. We then comment on CARB’s analysis and offer our own view about how the SP might affect jobs.

Hearing Handout

Revenues and the 2010-11 Budget

February 3, 2010 - Presented to Senate Budget and Fiscal Review Committee

Hearing Handout

LAO Analysis of COTCE Revenue Proposals

January 12, 2010 - Presented to Assembly Revenue and Taxation Committee


California's Fiscal Outlook: The 2010-11 Budget

November 18, 2009 - Our forecast of California’s General Fund revenues and expenditures shows that the state must address a General Fund budget problem of $20.7 billion between now and the time the Legislature enacts a 2010–11 state budget plan. The budget problem consists of a $6.3 billion projected deficit for 2009–10 and a $14.4 billion gap between projected revenues and spending in 2010–11. Addressing this large shortfall will require painful choices—on top of the difficult choices the Legislature made earlier this year.

Hearing Handout

California Postwar Economic Developments

November 17, 2009 - Presented to Senate Labor and Industrial Relations Committee

Hearing Handout

Should the State Consolidate Its Revenue Agencies?

June 10, 2009 - Presented to Senate Committee on Revenue and Taxation

Hearing Handout

May Revision Revenue Proposals

June 3, 2009 - Presented to Budget Conference Committee

Hearing Handout

Tax Administration Reforms and Federal Tax Conformity Recommendations

May 7, 2009 - Presented to Senate Budget and Fiscal Review Subcommittee No. 5 on Revenues, the Economy, and Labor

Hearing Handout

Tax Relief Provisions Included in the 2009 Federal Stimulus Legislation

March 23, 2009 - Presented to Assembly Revenue and Taxation Committee

Hearing Handout

Tax Expenditures: Policy Issues

February 13, 2009 - Presented to Commission on the 21st Century Economy


2009-10 Budget Analysis Series: Revenues

February 6, 2009 - To assist the Legislature in resolving the 2009‑10 budget gap, we developed a list of proposals that would raise more than $5 billion in each of 2009‑10 and 2010‑11. Our proposed options include eliminating or modifying 12 tax expenditure programs for a savings of $1.7 billion over the next two years. In general, these recommendations are based on our conclusion that these programs lack a strong rationale or are not sufficiently effective or efficient in achieving their stated goals. We also identify two targeted rate increases—increasing the vehicle license fee (VLF) to 1 percent and a three-year temporary PIT surcharge—that, combined, would raise $3.4 billion in 2009‑10 and $3.5 billion in 2010‑11. These options could be considered by the Legislature in lieu of any of the Governor’s revenue-related proposals. We believe these proposals have merit, both for tax policy reasons (for example, the VLF increase would result in all property in California taxed at the same rate) and for reducing the net impact of any rate increases on taxpayers (as both the VLF and PIT are deductible for federal tax purposes).


Perspectives on the State’s Revenue Structure

January 22, 2009 - Legislative Analyst Mac Taylor's presentation to the Commission on the 21st Century Economy.


Taxpayer Use and Administration of the Revised 540 2EZ Tax Form

January 5, 2009 - This report was prepared pursuant to Chapter 844, Statutes of 2004 (SB 1534, Johnson) which expands the income eligibility criteria for use of the 540 2EZ tax form in filing resident personal income taxes (PITs). The measure also requires the Legislative Analyst’s Office to study the impact of the law change.


California's Fiscal Outlook: LAO Projections 2008-09 Through 2013-14

November 20, 2008 - The state’s struggling economy has severely reduced expected revenues. Combined with rising state expenses, we project that the state will need $27.8 billion in budget solutions over the 2008-09 and 2009-10 fiscal years. The state’s revenue collapse is so dramatic and the underlying economic factors are so weak that we forecast huge budget shortfalls through 2013-14 absent corrective action. From 2010-11 through 2013-14, we project annual shortfalls that are consistently in the range of $22 billion. Closing a projected $28 billion budget shortfall will be a monumental task. We believe the Legislature must take major ongoing actions by both reducing base spending and increasing revenues. If the Legislature has any hope of developing a fiscally responsible 2009–10 budget, it must begin laying the groundwork now.


Investment Income and the Insurance Gross Premiums Tax

July 24, 2008 - Submitted Pursuant to Chapter 868, Statutes of 2004 (AB 263, Oropeza)

Economy and Taxes Staff

Chas Alamo
(916) 319-8357
Employment, Labor Law, and Property Taxes
Ann Hollingshead
(916) 319-8305
State Budget and Federal Funding
Lourdes Morales
(916) 319-8320
Local Government
Nick Schroeder
(916) 319-8314
Public Employment, CalPERS, and Elections
Brian Weatherford
(916) 319-8337
Corporation Tax and Insurance
Angela Short
(916) 319-8309
Teachers' Retirement Policy/ Child Welfare/ Community Care Licensing
Brian Uhler
(916) 319-8328
Deputy Legislative Analyst: Economy, Taxes, and Labor
Justin Garosi
(916) 319-8359
Personal Income Tax
Seth Kerstein
(916) 319-8365
Sales and Excise Taxes and Demographics