The 2025-26 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 24, 2025 - While the Governor focuses solutions in Medi-Cal —constituting $11  billion of the total $16  billion in solutions —the Legislature could pursue a different mix of spending and/or revenue solutions than those proposed.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5052

The 2025-26 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor's May Revision

May 17, 2025 - In contrast, the administration ’s forecast for the budget year is down $11  billion, reflecting diminished expectations for both the personal income tax and the corporation tax. General Fund Spending on Schools and Community Colleges Lower by $3.9   Billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5044

The 2025-26 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2025 - These solutions yielded General Fund savings of $11  billion through 2025 ‑26. The Governor ’s budget reduces this amount by $1.3  billion through 2025 ‑26. The reason for the reduction is the recent voter approval of Proposition  35 (2024), which requires the state to spend less MCO tax money on offsetting General Fund spending and more money on provider rate increases.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4951

Rethinking California's Reserve Policy

Apr 10, 2025 - Figure  11 shows how these steps are calculated. The intuition of this approach is that we establish a baseline for “expected ” revenue growth based on long ‑term trends. Any revenues above this baseline would be considered potential windfall funds —one ‑time resources that are better suited for reserves than for budget commitments.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5028