Various reports characterize future enrollment increases in California's higher education system as "Tidal Wave II."
Using college-participation rates from 1996, we project that, by 2005, higher education enrollments will be 98,000, or 4.8 percent, higher than peak levels in 1991.
Even if the higher participation rates assumed by other studies occur, student enrollments will not grow at "tidal wave" proportions.
Enrollments will increase over the next decade. The Legislature, however, has many policy levers that it can use to manage this growth and ensure students receive the best possible service (see page F-15).
Higher Education Enrollment Increases Are Not Justified
All three segments request significant new funds for increases in enrollments.
University of California (UC). The UC requests $20.6 million from the General Fund to increase
enrollments by 2,800, or 1.8 percent. We recommend reducing this proposal by $9.4 million
because (1) UC has not justified why it needs to increase enrollments above the 1 percent
contained in the Governor's compact and approved by the Legislature the past three years and (2)
UC already can and should shift its class offerings to reflect changes in student needs (see page
F-29).
California State University (CSU). The budget requests $40 million for "extra" growth for CSU. This growth, however, already has taken place. During 1996-97 and 1997-98, CSU has successfully accommodated the extra students, drawing from a $50 million-plus pool of (1) productivity savings promised under the "compact," and (2) unreported student fee revenues. Since resources already exist to teach the extra students, CSU does not need the $40 million augmentation for that purpose.
As an alternative, we suggest redirecting the augmentation to (1) provide new incentives for CSU faculty to increase their teaching commitments and (2) fund a plan adopted by the Legislature in 1996-97 to address CSU's deferred maintenance (see page F- 34).
California Community Colleges (CCC). The budget includes $90 million in enrollment growth. This is significantly above the state's projected level of adult population growth. Providing such high levels of growth, however, creates incentives for colleges to serve lower-priority classes (such as recreation classes). For this reason, we recommend the Legislature delete $18 million budgeted for this purpose, which would align growth funding with the increase in the underlying population served by CCC (see page F-46).
The UC Request for $9.9 Million for the Tenth Campus Lacks Sufficient Detail
The UC received $4.9 million in 1997-98 for activities related to the tenth UC campus in Merced County. The budget requests $9.9 million in 1998-99 to continue these activities. The university indicates that it will need over $80 million in operating funds before it opens the campus in 2005.
The UC has provided only broad descriptions of how it is spending funds for the tenth campus in the current and budget year. We withhold recommendation on the budget-year funds until UC provides the Legislature with details of how it plans to spend them (see page F-30).
The budget proposes total spending for higher education in California of $21 billion in 1998-99, which is $806 million, or 4 percent, more than estimated expenditures in the current year. This consists of funding from all sources for all activities of the University of California (UC), California State University (CSU), California Community Colleges, Hastings College of the Law, the California Student Aid Commission, and the California Postsecondary Education Commission, and various other costs. The $21 billion includes activities at UC that are not entirely related to instruction, including providing medical care at its hospitals ($2 billion) and managing three major U.S. Department of Energy laboratories ($2.6 billion).
As Figure 1 (see next page) shows, the budget proposes General Fund expenditures of $7.2 billion for higher education in 1998-99. This is $552 million, or 8.3 percent, higher than estimated for the current year. In addition, the budget assumes that local property taxes will contribute $1.4 billion for the community colleges in 1998-99, an increase of $57 million, or 4.1 percent.
Student fee and tuition revenue at all the higher education segments account for $1.8 billion of proposed expenditures, approximately the same as in the current year. While enrollments are projected to increase by 3.1 percent, recent state legislation reduced undergraduate fees and maintained graduate and professional school fees at the 1997-98 level. (Only nonresident fees at UC will increase.) The net effect will be to hold total student-fee revenue constant.
The budget proposes General Fund expenditures for UC of $2.4 billion, which is $175 million, or 8 percent, more than estimated General Fund expenditures in the current year. For CSU, the budget proposes a General Fund increase of $163 million, or 8.6 percent. (After eliminating $14 million in one-time spending in 1997-98, the actual increase in ongoing General Fund support for CSU is $177 million or 9.4 percent.) The combined General Fund, property tax revenue, and other fund amounts for the community colleges total $251 million, or 6.8 percent, above 1997-98 estimated expenditures.
Figure 1 | |||||
Higher Education Budget Summary | |||||
1996-97 Through 1998-99
(Dollars in Millions) | |||||
Actual 1996-97 |
Estimated 1997-98 |
Proposed 1998-99 |
Change From 1997-98 | ||
Amount | Percent | ||||
University of California | |||||
General Fund | $2,057.3 | $2,180.8 | $2,355.8 | $175.0 | 8.0% |
Student fee revenue | 961.3 | 1,005.8 | 1,020.0 | 14.1 | 1.4 |
Federal funds | 3,643.0 | 3,718.8 | 3,793.0 | 74.2 | 2.0 |
Other funds | 4,405.7 | 4,678.9 | 4,770.3 | 91.4 | 2.0 |
Totals | $11,067.2 | $11,584.4 | $11,939.1 | $354.7 | 3.1% |
California State University | |||||
General Fund | $1,810.1 | $1,897.2 | $2,060.1 | $162.9 | 8.6% |
Student fee revenue | 592.0 | 583.2 | 578.4 | -4.8 | -0.8 |
Federal & other funds | 1,321.6 | 1,367.1 | 1,370.1 | 3.0 | 0.2 |
Totals | $3,723.7 | $3,847.5 | $4,008.6 | $161.1 | 4.2% |
California Community Colleges | |||||
General Fund | $1,734.0 | $1,947.5 | $2,116.8 | $169.3 | 8.7% |
Local property tax revenue | 1,337.3 | 1,391.3 | 1,448.2 | 56.9 | 4.1 |
Student fee revenue | 163.5 | 165.5 | 155.3 | -10.1 | -6.1 |
Other funds | 160.6 | 178.7 | 213.8 | 35.2 | 19.7 |
Totals | $3,395.4 | $3,683.0 | $3,934.2 | $251.2 | 6.8% |
Hastings College of the Law | |||||
General Fund | $12.3 | $12.3 | $13.2 | $1.0 | 7.8% |
Student fee revenue | 12.0 | 12.4 | 13.1 | 0.7 | 5.3 |
Other funds | 6.0 | 6.9 | 6.6 | -0.4 | -5.1 |
Totals | $30.3 | $31.6 | $32.9 | $1.3 | 4.0% |
Student Aid Commission | |||||
General Fund | $263.9 | $294.7 | $319.9 | $25.2 | 8.6% |
Federal & other funds | 525.5 | 409.3 | 405.4 | -3.9 | -0.9 |
Totals | $789.4 | $703.9 | $725.3 | $21.3 | 3.0% |
Other Programsa | |||||
General Fund | $302.6 | $307.1 | $325.4 | $18.3 | 5.9% |
Federal & other funds | 9.1 | 8.7 | 6.5 | -2.2 | -25.5 |
Totals | $311.7 | $315.8 | $331.9 | $16.1 |
-- |
Totals, Higher
Education |
$19,317.7 | $20,166.3 | $20,972.0 | $805.7 | 4.0% |
General Fund | $6,180.1 | $6,639.6 | $7,191.2 | $551.6 | 8.3% |
Property tax revenue | 1,337.3 | 1,391.3 | 1,448.2 | 56.9 | 4.1 |
Student fee revenue | 1,728.7 | 1,767.0 | 1,766.9 | -0.1 | -- |
Federal & other funds | 10,071.6 | 10,368.3 | 10,565.7 | 197.3 | 1.9 |
a Includes California Postsecondary Education Commission, retirement costs for community college faculty, and debt service on higher education general obligation bonds. | |||||
As the figure shows, UC expects to spend 36 percent of its funding directly on instructional programs. The CSU expects to spend 40 percent of its funding directly on instructional programs. Although difficult to determine precisely, substantial portions of the other activities listed in Figure 3 help support directly or indirectly the instructional mission. That UC expects to spend more on research (25 percent) than CSU (0.5 percent) reflects the fact that the state's Master Plan for Higher Education designates UC as the research university for the state.
Figure 3 | ||||
UC and CSU
Proposed Spending in 1998-99 By Major Program | ||||
(Dollars in Millions) | ||||
Program | University of California | Percent a | California State University | Percent a |
Instruction | $2,410.1 | 36.0% | $1,265.0 | 40.0% |
Research | 1,670.0 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 0.5 |
Public services | 242.7 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 0.2 |
Academic support | 736.8 | 11.0 | 322.1 | 10.2 |
Student services | 253.3 | 3.7 | 243.5 | 7.7 |
Institutional support | 380.6 | 5.6 | 374.6 | 11.9 |
Operation and
maintenance of plant |
367.1 | 5.4 | 276.8 | 8.8 |
Student financial aid | 442.9 | 6.5 | 316.6 | 10.0 |
Other | 281.5 | 4.1 | 334.2 | 10.6 |
Subtotals | $6,785.0 | 100.0% | $3,153.0 | 100.0% |
Auxiliary enterprises | 511.9 |
-- |
855.6 |
-- |
Federal energy
laboratories |
2,640.0 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Teaching hospitals | 2,002.2 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Totals | $11,939.1 |
-- |
$4,008.6 |
-- |
a Percent of subtotal, excluding self-supporting auxiliary enterprises, major energy laboratories, and hospitals. | ||||
Figure 4 | |||||
Higher Education
Proposed Major General Fund Changes for 1998-99 | |||||
University of California | Requested: | $2.4 billion | |||
Increase: | $175 million | (+8%) | |||
+$109 million for employee compensation and price increases | |||||
+$62 million to avoid 10 percent student fee increase ($39.5 million) and reduce fees by 5 percent ($22.5 million) | |||||
+$14.6 million for 2,000 more full-time equivalent (FTE) enrollments | |||||
+$6 million for 800 more FTE enrollments in Computer Sciences and Engineering | |||||
-$12.2 to eliminate state funding for Subject Matter Projects and International Studies Project | |||||
California State University | Requested: | $2.1 billion | |||
Increase: | $163 million | (+8.6%) | |||
+$87 million for employee compensation and price increases | |||||
+$52 million for 10,320 more FTE enrollments | |||||
+$51 million to avoid 10 percent student fee increase ($31 million) and reduce fees by 5 percent ($19 million) | |||||
-$14 million to eliminate one-time spending in 1997-98 | |||||
California Community Colleges, Local Assistance | Requested: | $2.1 billion | |||
Increase: | $168 million | (+8.6%) | |||
+$90 million for 28,211 more FTE enrollments | |||||
+$68 million for a 2.22 percent COLA | |||||
+$50 million for Partnership for Excellence, linking funding and outcomes | |||||
+$21 million offset for reduced student fee revenues | |||||
-$78 million offset for property tax revenues and one-time 1997-98 spending | |||||
Figure 5 | ||||
Higher Education
Full-Time Equivalent Students | ||||
1996-97 Through 1998-99 | ||||
Actual
1996-97 |
Budgeted
1997-98 |
Proposed
1998-99 |
Change From 1997-98 | |
University of California | ||||
Undergraduate | 117,071 | 114,865 | 117,305 | 2.1% |
Postbaccalaureate | 394 | 400 | 400 |
-- |
Graduate | 25,318 | 25,735 | 26,095 | 1.4 |
Health sciences | 12,604 | 12,000 | 12,000 | -- |
UC Totals | 155,387 | 153,000 | 155,800 | 1.8% |
California State University | ||||
Undergraduate | 225,624 | 221,818 | 230,679 | 4.0% |
Postbaccalaureate | 16,001 | 15,731 | 16,365 | 4.0 |
Graduate | 20,803 | 20,451 | 21,276 | 4.0 |
CSU Totals | 262,428 | 258,000 | 268,320 | 4.0% |
California Community Colleges | 912,967 | 940,356 | 968,567 | 3.0% |
Hastings College
of the Law |
1,284 | 1,179 | 1,169 | -0.8% |
Grand Totals | 1,343,666 | 1,352,535 | 1,393,856 | 3.1% |
California's higher education fees compare favorably with public institutions in other states. The 1998-99 resident fees for UC undergraduate students will be $909, or 18 percent, lower than current fees at the four public universities in other states that UC uses to compare faculty salaries. The 1998-99 resident fees for CSU undergraduates will be $1,625, or 47 percent, lower than the average of fees at the 15 public universities in other states with which CSU compares itself. Community colleges do not have a similar comparison group. However, California community college fees for 1998-99--$360 per year for a full-time student--are the nation's lowest, and about one-fourth of the national average for public two-year institutions.
Figure 6 | ||||
Higher Education
Annual Student Fees | ||||
1996-97 Through 1998-99 | ||||
1996-97 | 1997-98 | Proposed 1998-99 | Change From 1997-98 | |
University of California | ||||
Undergraduate | $3,799 | $3,799 | $3,609 |
- 5.0% |
Graduate | 3,799 | 3,799 | 3,799 | -- |
Professional Students: | ||||
Law | 10,175 | 10,175 | 10,175 | -- |
Business | 9,799 | 9,799 | 9,799 | -- |
Medicine | 8,175 | 9,175 | 9,175 | -- |
Dentistry | 7,799 | 8,799 | 8,799 | -- |
Pharmacy | 5,799 | 6,799 | 6,799 | -- |
Veterinary medicine | 7,799 | 7,799 | 7,799 | -- |
Additional fees, all students: | ||||
Undergraduate | 367 | 413 | 413 | -- |
Graduate | 868 | 923 | 923 | -- |
Additional fee, nonresidents | 8,394 | 8,984 | 9,384 | 4.5% |
California State University | ||||
Undergraduates/graduates | $1,584 | $1,584 | $1,506 | - 4.9% |
Additional campus fees | 351 | 362 | 362 | -- |
Additional fee, nonresidents | 7,380 | 7,380 | 7,380 | -- |
California Community Colleges a | $390 | $390 | $360 | - 7.7% |
Hastings College of the Law | ||||
Education and registration fees | $10,175 | $10,175 | $10,175 | -- |
Other fees b | 992 | 992 | 992 | -- |
Additional fee nonresidents | 8,392 | 8,392 | 8,392 | -- |
a Based on two 15-credit semesters at $13 per credit unit for 1996-97 and 1997-98, and $12 per credit unit for 1998-99. Fees waived for 39 percent of students meeting financial aid eligibility requirements. | ||||
b Includes an insurance fee of $738 which can be waived with proof of insurance. | ||||