Legislative Analyst's Office

Analysis of the 2000-01 Budget Bill
Overview

Funding for capital outlay totals about $1.2 billion. The budget proposes a 39 percent increase in pay-as-you-go funding and does not include any debt financing using lease-payment bonds.

The 2000-01 Governor's Budget proposes $1.2 billion for capital outlay programs (excluding highway and rail programs, which are discussed in the Transportation section of this Analysis). This is spending on physical assets--college buildings, state parks, and prisons. (Spending to pay off debt on those assets financed with bonds is discussed later in this section.) The proposed amount is a decrease of $367 million (24 percent) from current-year appropriations. Most of this decrease is in the area of prisons, where construction of a new prison in Delano, Kern County, was funded in the current year. No new prisons are proposed in the 2000-01 Governor's Budget.

Spending by Area

Figure 1 (see next page) compares the amounts appropriated for capital outlay in the current year to the amounts proposed in the budget for each general organizational area. As shown in the figure, the largest decrease is in the area of youth and adult corrections ($342 million) and the largest increase is in higher education ($83 million).

Spending by Department

Figure 2 (see next page) shows the amounts each department requested for capital outlay funding in 2000-01, the amounts included in the Governor's budget, and the future cost for these projects. As shown in the figure, an estimated $991 million will need to be appropriated in the future in order to complete these projects. Thus, the request before the Legislature represents a total cost of nearly $2.2 billion.
Figure 1
State Capital Outlay Program
1999-00 and 2000-01

(In Millions)

1999-00 Appropriations 2000-01 Governor's Budget Difference
Legislative, Judicial, and Executive $48.7 $19.2 -$29.5
State and Consumer Services 3.9 5.4 1.5
Transportation (excluding highways and rail) 31.7 34.4 2.7
Resources 253.3 199.3 -54.0
Health and Human Services 51.4 10.5 -40.9
Youth and Adult Corrections 485.4 143.4 -342.0
Education 1.1 8.5 7.4
Higher Education 648.5 731.3 82.8
General Government 10.7 15.6 4.9
Totals $1,534.7 $1,167.5 -$367.2
Figure 2
Summary of Proposed 2000-01 Capital Outlay Program
All Funds

(In Thousands)

Governor's Budget
Department Requests Proposed 2000-01 Future Costa Totals
Legislative, Executive, and Judicial
Judicial Council $5,004 $5,004 --b $5,004
Justice 14,240 14,240 -- 14,240
State and Consumer Services
Franchise Tax Board $126 $126 -- $126
General Services 5,264 5,264 --b 5,264
Business, Transportation, and Housing
Transportation $8,937 $8,937 $204,848 $213,785
Highway Patrol 10,517 7,361 6,045 13,406
Motor Vehicles 19,084 18,073 5,108 23,181
Resources
Tahoe Conservancy $10,956 $10,956 -- $10,956
Conservation Corps 1,181 1,181 $12,500 13,681
Forestry and Fire Protection 81,513 62,420 64,826 127,246
Fish and Game 508 508 3,369 508
Wildlife Conservation Board 50,772 50,772 -- 50,772
Boating and Waterways 13,709 9,307 1,824 11,131
Coastal Conservancy 36,755 36,755 -- 36,755
Parks and Recreation 48,864 19,659 24,500 44,159
Water Resources 7,500 7,500 -- 7,500
Air Resources Board 259 259 2,142 2,401
Health and Human Services
Health Services $4,034 $4,034 -- $4,034
Mental Health 9,633 2,099 --b 2,099
Employment Development 4,720 4,083 -- 4,083
Rehabilitation 295 295 -- 295
Youth and Adult Corrections
Corrections $157,012 $117,061 $37,026 $154,087
Youth Authority 20,598 26,371 15,313 41,684
Education
Education $7,715 $7,958 $2,504 $10,462
State Library 510 510 --b 510
Higher Education
University of California $212,691 $287,691 $392,991 $680,682
California State University 505,534 153,350 114,728 268,078
Community Colleges 311,097 290,194 76,998 367,192
General Government
Food and Agriculture $19,845 $1,936 $20,521 $22,457
Military 2,540 2,540 4,276c 6,816
Veterans' Homes of California 9,100 9,100 1,263 10,363
Unallocated Capital Outlay 2,000 2,000 -- 2,000
Totals $1,582,513 $1,167,544 $990,782 $2,158,326
a Department estimates.
b No information on future costs.
c Includes $1.953 million in federal funds not included in the state budget.

Funding Sources for Capital Outlay Spending

The Governor's budget proposes funding the capital outlay program from bonds, the General Fund, special funds, and federal funds.

Figure 3 compares the sources of funds for the 1999-00 capital outlay program to those proposed in the 2000-01 Governor's Budget. As shown in the figure, the budget proposes increasing the amount for direct appropriations from the General Fund, special funds, and federal funds by a total of $137.3 million (37 percent). General Fund appropriations include increases of $75 million for the University of California and $78.5 million for youth and adult corrections. These increases are partially offset by a $70 million reduction in the area of resources. With regard to debt financing, the budget includes $662 million from general obligation bonds, of which $656 million are for higher education. The budget does not include any proposed financing from lease-payment bonds.
Figure 3
Sources of Funds for Capital Outlay Program
1999-00 and 2000-01

All Funds (In Millions)

Funds 1999-00 2000-01 Governor's Budget
General Fund $305.6 $398.3
General obligation bonds 760.9 662.1
Lease-payment bonds 405.7 --
Special funds 56.9 96.8
Federal funds 5.6 10.3
Totals $1,534.7 $1,167.5

Figure 4 displays the proposed funding for each department by fund source.
Figure 4
Proposed 2000-01 Capital Outlay Program Appropriations by Fund Type
(In Thousands)
Department Bonds General Special Federal Total
Judicial Council -- $5,004 -- -- $5,004
Justice -- 14,240 -- -- 14,240
Franchise Tax Board -- 126 -- -- 126
General Services (seismic retrofit) $818 -- -- -- 818
General Services (other) -- 4,446 -- -- 4,446
Transportation -- -- $8,937 -- 8,937
Highway Patrol -- -- 7,361 -- 7,361
Motor Vehicles -- -- 18,073 -- 18,073
Conservation Corps -- 1,181 -- -- 1,181
Tahoe Conservancy -- 4,885 6,071 -- 10,956
Forestry and Fire Protection -- 62,420 -- -- 62,420
Fish and Game -- 375 40 $93 508
Wildlife Conservation Board -- 30,000 20,772 -- 50,772
Boating and Waterways -- -- 9,307 -- 9,307
Coastal Conservancy -- 25,980 8,775 2,000 36,755
Parks and Recreation -- 3,849 15,810 -- 19,659
Water Resources -- 6,500 1,000 -- 7,500
Air Resources Board -- -- 259 -- 259
Health Services -- 4,034 -- -- 4,034
Mental Health -- 2,099 -- -- 2,099
Employment Development -- -- -- 4,083 4,083
Rehabilitation -- 295 -- -- 295
Corrections -- 117,061 -- -- 117,061
Youth Authority -- 26,371 -- -- 26,371
Education -- 7,958 -- -- 7,958
State Library -- 510 -- -- 510
University of California 212,691 75,000 -- -- 287,691
California State University 153,350 -- -- -- 153,350
Community Colleges 290,194 -- -- -- 290,194
Food and Agriculture -- 1,511 425 -- 1,936
Military -- 2,504 -- 36 2,540
Veterans' Home of California 5,021 -- -- 4,079 9,100
Unallocated -- 2,000 -- -- 2,000
Totals $662,074 $398,349 $96,830 $10,291 $1,167,544

Bond Funding and Debt Payments

Over the last several years, the majority of capital outlay has been funded with bonds. In the 1990s, the voters have authorized $25.6 billion in general obligation bonds. Most of these authorizations have been for K-12 schools ($13.1 billion), higher education ($4.8 billion), and transportation ($5 billion). In addition to these general obligation bonds, the Legislature has authorized $6.5 billion in lease-payment bonds since 1990. These bonds have funded higher education facilities, prisons, state office buildings, state laboratories, and state homes for veterans.

Debt Payments

As shown in Figure 5, the state's debt payments on bonds will be about $2.9 billion in the budget year--an increase of 7.5 percent over current-year costs. There are two components of this debt:

Debt for lease-payment bonds continues to grow as a share of total debt costs. For example, lease-payment debt was 13 percent of total debt payments in 1990-91 and will increase to 23 percent in the budget year. (As noted above, the Governor's budget includes no new authorizations for lease-payment bonds.)

Figure 5 also shows, with sales of currently authorized bonds, total debt payments will increase to $3.2 billion in 2005-06 and decline thereafter. This amount does not include any bonds that may be approved in the March 2000 election.

Debt Payments As a Percent of General Fund Revenue

We estimate that the amount of debt payments on General Fund-backed bonds as a percent of state General Fund revenue (that is, the state's debt ratio) will be 3.9 percent for the budget year. As shown in Figure 6, this ratio rose significantly in the early 1990s, and has declined for the last four years because of stronger General Fund revenue growth. We estimate that, as currently authorized bonds are sold, the debt ratio will increase to 4 percent in 2001-02 and decline thereafter (assuming no further bond authorizations).


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