August 19, 2011
Pursuant to Elections Code Section 9005, we have reviewed 
the proposed constitutional 
initiative regarding public employee collective bargaining rights in California
(A.G. File No. 11‑0020).
Background
		According to the U.S. 
		Census, California state and local governments employed in March 2009 
		more than 1.8 million full-time equivalent employees with a monthly 
		payroll cost of $10 billion. These public employees include California 
		state, higher education, K-12 education, and local public employees.
		Under state law, most 
		public employees have collective bargaining rights. Collective 
		bargaining is a negotiation process through which an employer and 
		exclusive employee representative bilaterally determine conditions of 
		employment. These negotiations result in a contract, or memorandum of 
		understanding (MOU). Among other provisions, MOUs typically establish 
		wages, health benefits, employee retirement contributions, working 
		hours, overtime, grievance processes, and term of contracts. Most public 
		employees with collective bargaining rights currently are working under 
		a collectively bargained contract. These contracts typically last for 
		less than five years. Some employees—mostly managers and supervisors—are 
		excluded from collective bargaining, in which case a jurisdiction’s 
		governing authority determines their employee compensation. 
		
		Major Provisions
		This measure 
		prohibits any state, school, or other local government entity from 
		recognizing any labor union or other employee association as a 
		bargaining agent. The measure also prohibits these public employers from 
		entering into any agreement relating to public employees or their 
		employment.
		Fiscal Effect
		
		Fiscal Effect of Measure May Not 
		Begin Immediately. The United States and California 
		Constitutions have provisions safeguarding the provisions of contracts, 
		which would likely include current collective bargaining contracts. As a 
		result, state and local agencies may be required to implement the terms 
		of their current collective bargaining contracts, including payment of 
		wages at specified levels, until the contracts expire. To the extent 
		this occurred, the fiscal effect of this measure on state and local 
		governments would be delayed. 
		
		Uncertainties Concerning Future 
		State and Local Savings. Within a few years, virtually all 
		existing public employee collective bargaining contracts will expire. At 
		that time, state and local employers could establish wages and other 
		terms of employment without securing the agreement of an employee 
		association. In order to maintain their workforces, however, state and 
		local government employers likely would set wages and other forms of 
		compensation at amounts similar to those offered by other public and 
		private employers. Whether any public agency’s employee compensation 
		costs would increase or decrease, therefore, would depend in part on the 
		difference between its current compensation and those offered by other 
		employers to similar employees. Because the overall effect of this 
		measure would be to strengthen state and local governments’ authority to 
		set employee compensation at levels that are lower than that which an 
		employee association would agree to, we would expect that some state and 
		local agencies would experience net reductions in their employee 
		compensation costs. The amount of these state and local government 
		savings would depend on future actions by state and local governments. 
		
		
		Fiscal Summary. This 
		measure would have the following major fiscal impact:
		
		
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		Potential state and local government 
		employee compensation savings. The amount of savings would depend on 
		future compensation decisions by state and local governments.
		
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