This post compares the administration's multi-year forecast revenue estimates with those generated under the LAO May 2016 economic growth scenario through 2019-20. (This does not reflect required transfers to the Budget Stabilization Account under Proposition 2 under the LAO figures, as those estimates are still under development.)
We discuss the ways that economic assumptions affect state budget analyses and how policy makers and others should consider these assumptions.
We have now received preliminary data from all the tax agencies concerning April 2016 collections of the personal income tax, the sales and use tax, and the corporation tax. These are the state General Fund's "Big Three" revenue sources.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics has released updated data for states' "U-6" measures (broad measures of the unemployed, underemployed, and those who are not looking but who want a job) through the first quarter of 2016.
We discuss the March 2016 jobs report, released by the California Employment Development Department and the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.