California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - To do this, we add a stock market indicator to our forecast models alongside other the economic variables. The added risk variable weighs on the range of revenue outcomes that we view as most plausible.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

^[PDF] UPDATE MAY 1997

This com- pares with a budget estimate of only about a 1 percent decline in the cur- rent year. Furthermore, the number of eligibles in most other Medi-Cal categories is growing more slowly than the budget had estimated.
https://lao.ca.gov/1997/cal_update/may_97_calupdate.pdf

^[PDF] COMMUNITY EDUCATION OF CHILDREN RESIDING IN STATE HOSPITALS

Our review indicates that some children, however, are receiving services in inappropriate settings. On December 31, 1981, for example, 51 state hospital residents whose individualized education programs indicated that they coul d benefit from special education services provided in a com- munity program off hospital grounds were being educated on hospital grounds.
https://lao.ca.gov/reports/1983/02_community_education_of_children_residing_in_state_hospitals.pdf

^[PDF] CalWORKs Program Overview Hearing

CalWORKs Program Overview Hearing Moving Toward Self-Sufficiency: Allowable Activities LAO 60 YEARS OF SERVICE L E G I S L A T I V E A N A L Y S T ’ S O F F I C E March 9, 2005 3 " One-Parent Family: A family is eligible for the one-parent com- ponent of the program if it includes a child who is financially needy due to the death, incapacity, or continued absence of one or both
https://lao.ca.gov/handouts/socservices/2005/CalWORKs_program_030905.pdf

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

^[PDF] HMOs and Rural California

In preparing this report, we obtained infor- mation from a variety of sources: ➢ We conducted interviews with repre- sentatives of a diverse set of key players in the rural health care com- munity, including beneficiaries, health operated health care systems, the California Medical Association, health policy researchers, state health care programs such as the Medi-Cal Program and
https://lao.ca.gov/2002/hmos_rural_ca/8-02_hmos_rural_ca.pdf

^[PDF] San Diego County Regional Airport Authority: Assessing Governmental Accountability

Note: If the San Diego airport authority’s board were com- prised of seven members, it could pay each member about $70,000 annually without imposing greater costs than the authority currently pays for its nine-member board.
https://lao.ca.gov/handouts/localgov/2006/SD_Airport_Authority_111706.pdf

^[PDF] California Redistricting Commission Amendment, Amendment No. 2-S

The measure requires the Legislature to appropriate funds necessary for the com- mission to carry out its responsibilities, as well as compensation and expense reim- bursement for members of the commission.
https://lao.ca.gov/ballot/1999/991002_INT.pdf