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How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

[PDF] Proposition 27: Allows Online and Mobile Sports Wagering Outside Tribal Lands. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute.

Provides New Ways to Reduce Illegal Online Sports Betting „ Creates new ways to reduce illegal online sports betting, such as (1) requiring people who place online sports bets with any unlicensed entity to pay the state a penalty equal to 15 percent of the amount that they bet and (2) authorizing a $1,000 penalty for each day this money is not paid.
https://lao.ca.gov/handouts/crimjust/2022/Prop-27-081022.pdf

[PDF] Authorization of Online Poker in California

This is because individuals would generally spend less consuming other goods and services because more of their income would be spent on online gambling.
https://lao.ca.gov/handouts/state_admin/2010/Online_Poker_02_09_10.pdf

[PDF] Authorizing Online Poker In California: Issues For Consideration

Revenue generated from (1) existing players betting more than they otherwise would or (2) individuals that currently do not play online poker would be offset, to an unknown extent, by a reduction in existing state revenues.
https://lao.ca.gov/handouts/crimjust/2015/Authorizing-Online-Poker-California-Issues-Consideration062415.pdf

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - These companies have made big bets on AI, spending hundreds of billions of dollars on data centers and offering extraordinary pay packages to recruit AI researchers. This spending, coupled with sizable gains to investors and tech company employees via stock options, is boosting state income tax receipts.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

Online sports wagering. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2021 - Authorizes Actions Against Illegal Online Sports Wagering. The measure imposes a 15  percent tax on people in California who illegally make online sports wagers. This tax is applied to the amount a person bets.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-017

[PDF] Online sports wagering.

Authorizes Actions Against Illegal Online Sports Wagering. The measure imposes a 15 percent tax on people in California who illegally make online sports wagers. This tax is applied to the amount a person bets.
https://lao.ca.gov/ballot/2021/210494.pdf

Gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - Tribes that choose to adopt the model compact agreement to govern in-person and/or online sports wagering would have the primary responsibility to regulate sports wagering. For exa mple, such tribes would be responsible for reviewing what games or bets can be offered and what rules would apply (such as how payouts for winning wagers are calculated).
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-030

Tribal gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 27, 2021 - Tribes that choose to adopt the model compact agreement to govern in-person and/or online sports wagering would have the primary responsibility to regulate sports wagering. For exa mple, such tribes would be responsible for reviewing what games or bets can be offered and what rules would apply (such as how payouts for winning wagers are calculated).
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-039