The 2026-27 Budget: Cap-and-Invest Expenditure Plan

Feb 10, 2026 - Most notably, because including state operations expenditures as part of Tier 1 means they receive first priority for available GGRF, adding new activities to this category can have the effect of gradually “crowding out ” other GGRF ‑funded programs and activities.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5114

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - The added risk variable weighs on the range of revenue outcomes that we view as most plausible. The middle of the range, which becomes our main revenue forecast, is thus lower than if we did not include the stock market risk indicator.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - The Commission determined that Los Angeles County incurred reimbursable costs processing deferment requests and adding the required disclosure to property tax bills. The Commission determined that the county incurred a total amount of about $30,000 in back-year costs (incurred between 2022 and 2024), and about $8,000 in ongoing costs thereafter.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

The 2026-27 Budget: Governor’s Sustainable Aviation Fuel Tax Credit Proposal

Feb 24, 2026 - There also are a number of other refiners in the United States that currently produce RD and could, with the purchase of some ad ditional equipment, be converted to produce SAF in addition to, or instead of, RD.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5139

California Community Colleges Capital Outlay Projects [EdBudget]

Mar 10, 2026 - California Community Colleges Capital Outlay Projects [EdBudget]     a Community college districts issue local general obligation bonds to pay for a share of project costs. b Proposition 51 (2016) bond funds. c The performance criteria phase is the initial phase of this design-build project. d Replacement buildings listed in this category involve adding space. e Center operated
https://lao.ca.gov/Education/EdBudget/Details/1025

Property tax rules for inherited property. [Ballot]

Jan 21, 2026 - In the year a new owner takes over a property, its taxable value typically is its purchase price. Each year after that, the property ’s taxable value is adjusted for inflation by up to 2  percent. When a property changes ownership again, its taxable value is reset to its new purchase price.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-035

The 2026-27 Budget: Child Welfare

Mar 3, 2026 - In addition to restructuring foster care maintenance payments, the 2024-25 statutory changes also added two new foster care programs and corresponding rate components: (1)  Strengths Building and Child and Family Determination Program, and (2)  Immediate Needs Program.
https://lao.ca.gov/publications/report/5147

The 2026-27 Budget: Proposed Zero-Emission Vehicle Incentive

Feb 24, 2026 - Moreover, given the opaque nature of vehicle pricing, we expect that ensuring that incentives are passed on to consumers, rather than retained (at least to some degree) by manufacturers or vehicle dealers, will be difficult.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5140

The 2026-27 Budget: Supplemental Security Income/State Supplementary Payment (SSI/SSP) Program

Mar 3, 2026 - Estimates of federal poverty guidelines for 2027 are based on the LAO Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI ‑U) projection. The 2027 federal poverty guidelines will not be finalized until fall 2026.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5148

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The current run-up in stock prices is similarly concentrated in Silicon Valley technology companies, raising the risk of an outsized revenue loss if that market corrects sharply. With the concentration of stock market gains in technology companies, any event that shakes mar ket confidence, including things beyond waning enthusiasm about AI, could be detrimental to state revenues.    
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852