The 2026-27 Budget: Proposition 98 Guarantee and K-12 Spending Plan

Feb 4, 2026 - The state, however, cannot predict the timing of such a decline. The potential forecasting errors are larger in 2026 ‑27 than in 2025 ‑26 because the 2026 ‑27 estimates must make assumptions further into the future, and the state does not yet have any tax collection data for the year.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5110

Assessing a Shift to Enrollment-Based School Funding

Jan 6, 2026 - Overall, our analysis finds that shifting to enrollment ‑based funding would be somewhat more predictable and reduce some administrative burdens for LEAs, but likely would have a negative effect on student attendance over the long run.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5100