How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The four major downturns were more severe, with income tax declines ranging from 17 percent to 30 percent (average of 24 percent). Perhaps more concerning, income tax revenues stayed depressed for years following major downturns.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The four major downturns were more severe, with income tax declines ranging from 17 percent to 30 percent (average of 24 percent). Perhaps more concerning, income tax revenues stayed depressed for years following major downturns.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

2025-26 Changes in Proposition 98 Spending [EdBudget]

Feb 4, 2025 - 2025-26 Changes in Proposition 98 Spending [EdBudget] 2025-26 Proposition 98 Spending $118,923 a Applies to Child and Adult Care Food Program, K-12 Mandates Block Grant, and special education. b Reflects additional LCFF costs associated with serving more students in transitional kindergarten, including costs of existing 12:1 staffing ratios. c The Governor's budget also includes $229 million in
https://lao.ca.gov/Education/EdBudget/Details/939

The 2024-25 Budget: Deficit Update

Feb 20, 2024 - Roughly, a $24 billion erosion in revenues corresponds to a $15 billion increase in the budget problem. This would expand the $58 billion estimated deficit to $73 billion under our updated revenue forecast.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4850

The 2023-24 Budget: May Revenue Outlook [EconTax Blog]

May 13, 2023 - In the last 30 years, comparable two-quarter declines have occurred only around the Dot-Com Recession and the Great Recession. Similarly, income tax withholding (the largest component of income tax collections) has declined 5 percent so far this year, a stark departure from the double digit growth of the preceding two years.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/774

The 2026-27 Budget: Judicial Branch

Feb 11, 2026 - The judicial branch currently manages around 430 facilities across all 58 counties. Its facility program is responsible for various activities including maintaining these facilities, managing leases, and constructing new courthouses to replace outdated facilities.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5113

Firearms and Ammunition Revenue Update (2025 Q2) [EconTax Blog]

Aug 18, 2025 - Preliminary Total for 2024-25: $58 Million. For firearm and ammunition excise tax returns filed for 2024-25, the total amount of tax due is $58 million —a bit lower than the budget package revenue assumption.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/836

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - The state solved a $27  billion deficit in 2023 ‑24, a $55  billion deficit in 2024 ‑25, and a $15  billion deficit in 2025 ‑26 (in addition to roughly $28  billion in proactive budget ‑balancing actions taken the year before).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2024-25 Budget: Higher Education Overview

Jan 30, 2024 - Given the state’s large projected budget deficit in 2024‑25 (potentially upwards of $58 billion), at least $2.4 billion in non‑Proposition 98 General Fund higher education savings seems a practical starting point.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4829?utm_source=Legislative+Analyst%27s+Office&utm_campaign=415eaeb623-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2024_01_30_4829&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_-415eaeb623-%5BLIST_EMAIL_ID%5D