Results from the past 5 years


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Online sports wagering. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2021 - The measure also imposes a 10  percent tax on entities offering online sports wagering. This tax is applied to the amount of sports wagers made after deducting (1)  any wagers made with free bets or promotional credits (such as a wager made with funds provided by a gaming operator to a player as a promotion), (2)  players ’ winnings and prizes, and (3)  all federal gaming taxes.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-017

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

Tribal gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 27, 2021 - Specifically, such tribes must pay 15  percent of sports wagering revenue into the TSW-RSTF and 10  percent into the CHMHF —a total of 25  percent. This percent is applied to the amount of sports wagers made after deducting (1)  any wagers made with free bets or promotional credits (such as a wager made with funds provided by a tribe to a player as a promotion), (2)  all player winnings, and (3)  all federal gaming taxes.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-039

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Executive Summary Not Safe to Bet Artificial Intelligence ( AI) Fueled Exuberance Is Sustainable. Both the California and U.S. economies currently face significant headwinds.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

MOU Fiscal Analysis: Bargaining Units 10 (Professional Scientists) and 18 (Psychiatric Technician)

Sep 9, 2025 - The most recent compensation study that evaluated Unit 10 compensation looked at three occupations represented by Unit 10—chemists (representing about 3 percent of Unit 10 members), epidemiologists (representing about 5 percent of Unit 10 members), and environmental scientists (representing about 70 percent of Unit 10 members).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5073

An Update on California Competes [EconTax Blog]

Mar 10, 2023 - One potential interpretation is that the state is making high risk-high reward bets on businesses. While many of these bets do not pan out, the ones that do can be successful enough to yield overall benefits for the state.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/771

MOU Analysis: Unit 10 (Professional Scientific)

Jan 30, 2023 - The disagreement primarily stems from union-raised pay equity concerns between two sets of employees: (1)  between Unit 9 and Unit 10 rank-and-file workers and (2)  between unit 10 rank-and-file workers and their supervisors.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4665

Gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - Banking games generally involve players betting against the “house, ” who is a participant in the game with an interest in the outcome, and percentage games generally involve the house receiving a percentage of the money involved in the game.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-030

Sports wagering. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - At minimum, these regulations must limit wagering to (1) bets made by people age of 21 and older; (2) professional or college sporting events that do not include animals other than horses; and (3) amateu r sporting events that do not include children under the age of 18.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-031