How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - March 9, 2026 Chas Alamo State Budget Is Heavily Reliant on Stock Market Earnings. California 's progressive income tax system is heavily reliant on stock market earnings because the state has concentrated its tax collections among high-income earners whose incomes are most tied to the stock market through capital gains, equity compensation, and investment returns.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - March 9, 2026 Chas Alamo State Budget Is Heavily Reliant on Stock Market Earnings. California 's progressive income tax system is heavily reliant on stock market earnings because the state has concentrated its tax collections among high-income earners whose incomes are most tied to the stock market through capital gains, equity compensation, and investment returns.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - These companies have made big bets on AI, spending hundreds of billions of dollars on data centers and offering extraordinary pay packages to recruit AI researchers. This spending, coupled with sizable gains to investors and tech company employees via stock options, is boosting state income tax receipts.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

Online sports wagering. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2021 - In total, increased state costs to regulate online sports wagering could reach the mid-tens of millions of dollars annually. Some or all of these costs w ould be offset by the increased revenue deposited into the COSBTF.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-017

Tribal gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 27, 2021 - Increased state revenues that could range from the tens of millions of dollars to the mid-hundreds of millions of dollars annually, depending on how the measure is implemented and legally interpreted.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-039

Gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - Revenues could reach into the tens of millions of dollars annually depending on how  the measure is interpreted and implemented given the uncertainties described above. Increased State Regulatory Costs.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-030

An Update on California Competes [EconTax Blog]

Mar 10, 2023 - One potential interpretation is that the state is making high risk-high reward bets on businesses. While many of these bets do not pan out, the ones that do can be successful enough to yield overall benefits for the state.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/771

California gaming activities. [Ballot]

Oct 1, 2021 - Banking games generally involve players betting against the “house, ” who is a participant in the game with an interest in the outcome, and percentage games generally involve the house receiving a percentage of money involved in the game.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-009

Sports wagering. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - At minimum, these regulations must limit wagering to (1) bets made by people age of 21 and older; (2) professional or college sporting events that do not include animals other than horses; and (3) amateu r sporting events that do not include children under the age of 18.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-031

New tax on the wealth of billionaires. [Ballot]

Dec 11, 2025 - California billionaires, like all those earning money in the state, currently pay state taxes on their annual income. How billionaires respond to a new wealth tax could indirectly reduce their income tax payments.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-024