The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - Instead, our forecast includes income tax collections that are somewhat weaker than suggested by cash trends, but still tens of billions of dollars above where they would be if stocks actually drop significantly.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

Online sports wagering. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2021 - For example, the measure prohibits the division from placing limits on the ty pe or amount of free bets or promotional credits offered to individuals, as well as from specifying how odds are to be calculated.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-017

Gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - This percent is applied to the amount of sports wagers made after deducting (1)  any wagers made with free bets or promotional credits (such as a wager made with funds provided by a tribe to a player as a promotion), (2)  all player winnings, and (3)  all federal gaming taxes.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-030

Tribal gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 27, 2021 - This percent is applied to the amount of sports wagers made after deducting (1)  any wagers made with free bets or promotional credits (such as a wager made with funds provided by a tribe to a player as a promotion), (2)  all player winnings, and (3)  all federal gaming taxes.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-039

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2024-25 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 98 Funding Maneuver

Feb 15, 2024 - These  payments would bring the state ’s cash and budget documents back into alignment. LAO Assessment Creates a New Type of Budget Solution: Effectively an Interest ‑Free Loan From the State ’s Cash Resources.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4840

Sports wagering. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - At minimum, these regulations must limit wagering to (1) bets made by people age of 21 and older; (2) professional or college sporting events that do not include animals other than horses; and (3) amateu r sporting events that do not include children under the age of 18.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-031

An Update on California Competes [EconTax Blog]

Mar 10, 2023 - One potential interpretation is that the state is making high risk-high reward bets on businesses. While many of these bets do not pan out, the ones that do can be successful enough to yield overall benefits for the state.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/771

The 2023-24 Budget: Financing Approaches for Capital Outlay Projects

Feb 28, 2023 - In our view, this would be one reasonable way to free up some General Fund cash to maintain funding for existing programs that might otherwise need to be cut to address the budget problem. Even though interest rates are relatively high right now , if interest rates come down in the future, the state typically has the option of effectively refinancing at a lower interest rate.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4709