Artificial intelligence and child safety. [Ballot]

Jan 27, 2026 - These products range from tools built for specific purposes to more general systems that can hold conversations with users on a wide range of topics. State Privacy Law Includes Certain Protections for Minors.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-036

Oversight of certain nonprofit charities and related entities. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - These costs would vary from year-to-year, but would likely range from the millions of dollars to the tens of millions of dollars annually —but could reach into the low hundreds of millions of dollars annually.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-032

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - The added risk variable weighs on the range of revenue outcomes that we view as most plausible. The middle of the range, which becomes our main revenue forecast, is thus lower than if we did not include the stock market risk indicator.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The four major downturns were more severe, with income tax declines ranging from 17 percent to 30 percent (average of 24 percent). Perhaps more concerning, income tax revenues stayed depressed for years following major downturns.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The four major downturns were more severe, with income tax declines ranging from 17 percent to 30 percent (average of 24 percent). Perhaps more concerning, income tax revenues stayed depressed for years following major downturns.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: California Community Colleges

Mar 5, 2026 - This would be a helpful tool for managing volatility, though it would not on its own address the range of declines in the guarantee that could potentially occur. Recommend Using One ‑Time Funds to Build Budget Resiliency.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5150

Rideshare companies. [Ballot]

Dec 17, 2025 - The increased costs likely would range from the low tens of millions of dollars to the mid-tens of millions of dollars annually. The measure intends for these costs to be covered primarily through fees paid by rideshare companies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-029

The 2026-27 Budget: Proposition 98 Guarantee and K-12 Spending Plan

Feb 4, 2026 - The Legislature could adopt the alternative under a range of potential revenue scenarios, but for illustrative purposes, we  describe its effects using the Governor ’s budget as the  baseline. Fully Fund the Estimate of the Guarantee.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5110

The 2026-27 Budget: Department of Developmental Services

Mar 13, 2026 - There is significant variability in the average annual growth rate by individual service (many individual services are captured in “Other ” in the figure), ranging from a low of 3  percent (employment services) to a high of 52  percent (social recreation).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5157

Rideshare companies. [Ballot]

Dec 17, 2025 - We estimate that this measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state court costs ranging from the millions of dollars to the low tens of millions of dollars annually to process increased civil case workload.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-028