How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This dynamic may be especially notable today. The current run-up in stock prices is similarly concentrated in Silicon Valley technology companies, raising the risk of an outsized revenue loss if that market corrects sharply.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This dynamic may be especially notable today. The current run-up in stock prices is similarly concentrated in Silicon Valley technology companies, raising the risk of an outsized revenue loss if that market corrects sharply.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - As shown in Figure  1 , many signs of an overly exuberant stock market are present today: measures of whether stocks are “expensive ” are at historically high levels, investors are borrowing more to buy stocks, and households are more invested in the stock market than they have been in at least 70  years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

Online sports wagering. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2021 - Creates Division of Online Sports Betting Control (DOSBC). This measure creates DOSBC within DOJ, which would have the exclusive authority to regulate online sports wagering as well as to investigate illegal wagering activities (such as “match-fixing ”).
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-017

The 2021-22 Budget: School Mental Health

Feb 12, 2021 - As a result, existing partnerships are better positioned to apply for the matching funds. Number of Projects Likely to Receive Matching Funds Is Uncertain. Because the proposal requires CDE to match eligible projects dollar for dollar, a handful of large counties with high ‑cost projects could receive the matching grants and entirely exhaust all available funding.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4368

The 2021-22 Budget: Department of Developmental Services (DDS) May Revision Budget Proposal

May 24, 2021 - The recently passed ARP Act provided one-time Medicaid funding to “enhance, expand, or strengthen ” home- and community-based services (HCBS) by increasing the federal matching rate by 10  percentage points for a one-year period.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4438

The 2024-25 Budget: Child Welfare

Feb 26, 2024 - Current Rates Structure Relies on Level of Care Protocol (LOCP). The current, interim rates rely on the LOCP, which is a tool used by local child welfare staff to assess the care and supervision needs of foster children, and match those needs to a board and care rate.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4855

Tribal gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 27, 2021 - Under the measure, monies in TSW-RSTF would be considered tribal revenues that are distributed to federally recognized tribes in the state that either do not operate casinos or ope rate casinos with less than 350 slot machines.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-039

An Update on California Competes [EconTax Blog]

Mar 10, 2023 - One potential interpretation is that the state is making high risk-high reward bets on businesses. While many of these bets do not pan out, the ones that do can be successful enough to yield overall benefits for the state.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/771

Personal income tax rates for high-income taxpayers. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2025 - We estimate the measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Maintains $5  billion to $15  billion of annual state income taxes (in today ’s dollars) by making a tax on high income earners permanent instead of letting it expire in 2031.  
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-016