The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Executive Summary Not Safe to Bet Artificial Intelligence ( AI) Fueled Exuberance Is Sustainable. Both the California and U.S. economies currently face significant headwinds.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The meteoric rise in the value of these companies has led to sizable gains for their investors and their employees via stock options, which has led income tax collections to grow at double-digit rates.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The meteoric rise in the value of these companies has led to sizable gains for their investors and their employees via stock options, which has led income tax collections to grow at double-digit rates.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

^[PDF] Proposition 27: Allows Online and Mobile Sports Wagering Outside Tribal Lands. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute.

The increase would depend mostly on how sports betting is regulated—such as the number of sports betting licenses approved, the type and number of betting options and events offered, and how much state enforcement is done.
https://lao.ca.gov/handouts/crimjust/2022/Prop-27-081022.pdf

^[PDF] Proposition 26: Allows In-Person Roulette, Dice Games, Sports Wagering on Tribal Lands. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute.

Increased State Regulatory Costs „ Increased state costs for state agencies (such as DOJ) to regulate in-person sports betting, possibly reaching the low tens of millions of dollars annually. These costs would depend mostly on how sports betting is regulated, such as what types of bets are not allowed. „ Some or all of these costs would be offset by CSWF revenues and tribal payments to the state that do not go into the CSWF.
https://lao.ca.gov/handouts/crimjust/2022/Proposition-26-081022.pdf

Tribal gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 27, 2021 - Under the measure, monies in TSW-RSTF would be considered tribal revenues that are distributed to federally recognized tribes in the state that either do not operate casinos or ope rate casinos with less than 350 slot machines.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-039

An Update on California Competes [EconTax Blog]

Mar 10, 2023 - One potential interpretation is that the state is making high risk-high reward bets on businesses. While many of these bets do not pan out, the ones that do can be successful enough to yield overall benefits for the state.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/771

Online sports wagering. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2021 - This tax is applied to the amount a person bets. Additionally, the measure authorizes DOSBC to take va rious enforcement actions, including requiring people making such bets to register with DOSBC, requiring entities illegally offering online sports wagering to disclose the names of people who make wagers with them, and blocking access to illegal sites accepting sports wagers.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-017

^[PDF] 1998 Cal Facts: California's Fiscal Structure

Rate is de- pendent on type of racing and bet, and where the wager is placed. Insurance 2.35% Insurers are subject to the gross premiums tax in lieu of all other taxes except property taxes and business license fees.
https://lao.ca.gov/1998/1998_calfacts/1998_calfacts_fiscal_structure.pdf

^[PDF] 2000 Cal Facts: STATE–LOCAL FINANCES

Rate is de- pendent on type of racing and bet, and where the wager is placed. Insurance 2.35% Insurers are subject to the gross premiums tax in lieu of all other taxes except property taxes and business license fees.
https://lao.ca.gov/2000/calfacts/2000_calfacts_state-local.pdf