Spring 2020

Proposition 98 Overview

Comparing LAO Estimates of the Proposition 98 Guarantee With Governor’s Budget

(In Millions)

   Governor's
January Budget
  LAO Spring Outlook   Change From January
    U-Shaped Scenario L-Shaped Scenario   U-Shaped Scenario L-Shaped Scenario
2018-19 $78,448   $78,508 $78,508   $61 $61
General Fund 54,505   54,493 54,493   -12 -12
Local property tax 23,942   24,015 24,015   73 73
               
2019-20 $81,573   $78,328 $77,846   -$3,245 -$3,727
General Fund 56,405   53,370 52,926   -3,035 -3,479
Local property tax 25,168   24,958 24,921   -210 -248
               
2020-21 $84,048   $73,884 $69,100   -$10,164 -$14,948
General Fund 57,573   48,031 43,318   -9,542 -14,255
Local property tax 26,475   25,853 25,782   -622 -693
               
Three-Year Totals $244,069   $230,720 $225,455   -$13,349 -$18,614
General Fund 168,484   155,893 150,737   -12,590 -17,747
Local property tax 75,586   74,827 74,718   -759 -868