May 2021

Proposition 98 Overview

Proposition 98 Key Inputs and Outcomes Under May Revision

Dollars in Millions

  2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
Minimum Guarantee      
General Fund $54,483 $67,077 $66,374
Local property tax 24,846 25,745 27,365
   Totals $79,329 $92,822 $93,738
Change From Prior Year      
General Fund -$263 $12,594 -$703
   Percent change -0.5% 23.1% -1.0%
Local property tax $1,070 $899 $1,620
   Percent change 4.5% 3.6% 6.3%
Total guarantee $807 $13,493 $916
   Percent change 1.0% 17.0% 1.0%
Inputs      
General Fund taxesa $143,406 $176,481 $174,608
K-12 average daily attendance 5,896,938 5,871,650 5,754,927
Growth Factors      
Per capita personal income 3.9% 3.7% 5.7%
Per capita General Fundb 1.1% 23.4% -0.1%
K-12 average daily attendancec -0.4% -0.4% -2.0%
Operative Test 1 1 1
Proposition 98 Reserve:      
Deposit/withdrawal (+/-) $0 $1,984 $2,617
Balance 0 1,984 4,601
       
a Reflects General Fund revenue that affects the calculation of the guarantee.
b Reflects per capita General Fund plus 0.5 percent (one of the Test 3 factors).
c For calculating the guarantee, Chapter 24 of 2020 (SB 98, Committee on Budget and Fiscal Review) deems the change in attendance in 2020‑21 to be the same as the change in 2019‑20.
Note: No maintenance factor is created, paid, or owed over the period.