May 2021
Comparing LAO and May Revision Estimates of the Proposition 98 Guarantee
Dollars in Millions
2020-21 | 2021-22 | 2022-23a | 2023-24a | 2024-25a | |
May Revision | |||||
General Fund | $67,077 | $66,374 | $68,175 | $69,337 | $70,733 |
Local property tax | 25,745 | 27,365 | 28,996 | 30,424 | 31,910 |
Totals | $92,822 | $93,738 | $97,171 | $99,761 | $102,643 |
LAO May Outlook | |||||
General Fund | $65,950 | $69,009 | $71,100 | $74,246 | $78,329 |
Local property tax | 25,707 | 27,056 | 28,426 | 29,945 | 31,552 |
Totals | $91,657 | $96,064 | $99,526 | $104,191 | $109,881 |
Change (From May Revision to LAO) | |||||
General Fund | -$1,127 | $2,635 | $2,925 | $4,909 | $7,596 |
Local property tax | -38 | -309 | -570 | -479 | -358 |
Totals | -$1,165 | $2,326 | $2,355 | $4,430 | $7,238 |
a The May Revision proposes to adjust the minimum guarantee upward ("rebench") for the expansion of transitional kindergarten to all four-year old children by 2024-25. The estimates of the guarantee in this table exclude this adjustment. If the Legislature adopts this proposal, the associated increases in the guarantee would be approximately $900 million in 2022-23, $1.8 billion in 2023-24, and $2.7 billion in 2024-25. |