January 2023

Proposition 98 Overview

Proposition 98 Key Inputs and Outcomes Under Governor's Budget

Dollars in Millions

  2021-22 2022-23 2023-24
Minimum Guarantee      
General Fund $83,630 $79,103 $79,613a
Local property tax 26,785 27,889 29,204
   Totals $110,415 $106,991 $108,816
Change From Prior Year      
General Fund $13,426 -$4,528 $510
   Percent change 19.1% -5.4% 0.6%
Local property tax $916 $1,104 $1,315
   Percent change 3.5% 4.1% 4.7%
Total guarantee $14,342 -$3,424 $1,825
   Percent change 14.9% -3.1% 1.7%
General Fund Tax Revenueb $219,986 $206,469 $205,989
Growth Rates      
K-12 average daily attendance -8.9% 3.1% -0.8%
Per capita personal income (Test 2) 5.7% 7.6% 2.8%
Per capita General Fund (Test 3)c 19.7% -5.1% 0.3%
Proposition 98 Reserve      
Deposit (+) or withdrawal (‑) $3,710 $1,096 $365
Cumulative balance 7,012 8,108 8,473
Operative Test 1 1 1
       
a Excludes $941 million supplemental payment associated with Proposition 28 (2022).
b Excludes nontax revenues and transfers, which do not affect the calculation of the guarantee.
c As set forth in the State Constitution, reflects change in per capita General Fund plus 0.5 percent.
Note: No maintenance factor is created or paid over the period.