The 2012-13 Budget: Economic and Revenue Update [Publication Details]

Feb 27, 2012 - Like the economic data, reports concerning state revenues have been mixed recently too, with weakness in income tax payments accompanied by speculation concerning a future bonanza of tax revenues due to the possible offering of stock by Facebook, Inc.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/2578

The 2016-17 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook - California's Fiscal Outlook [Video]

If the economy continues to grow through 2019-20, annual operating surpluses and larger reserves could materialize, and there may be capacity for some new budget commitments—whether spending increases or tax reductions.
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=95

The 2016-17 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Debt Proposal - The 2016-17 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Debt Proposal [Video]

To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that supports HTML5 video The 2016-17 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Debt Proposal February 24, 2016 Watch it on YouTube .
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=101

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - The added risk variable weighs on the range of revenue outcomes that we view as most plausible. The middle of the range, which becomes our main revenue forecast, is thus lower than if we did not include the stock market risk indicator.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2025-26 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan

Oct 16, 2025 - After the special session, the sections were amended to allow funds to be used to reimburse local governments through June 2026 for (1)  unmet response and recovery costs, and (2)  lost property tax revenue.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5079

The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements

Feb 20, 2026 - The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements The 2026-27 Budget How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements Recent stock market performance continues to boost income tax collections. In our Fiscal Outlook , we strongly advised the Legislature to treat near-term strength in tax collections as temporary because we expect these gains to reverse.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5133

The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements [Publication Details]

Feb 20, 2026 - Recent stock market performance continues to boost income tax collections. In our Fiscal Outlook, we strongly advised the Legislature to treat near-term strength in tax collections as temporary because we expect these gains to reverse. Further, the state faces significant structural deficits in the future.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5133

The 2025-26 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor's May Revision

May 17, 2025 - Finally, although we have not previously recommended the Leg islature take decisive action to address the structural deficits, the state ’s persistent fiscal imbalance and the added downside risks —particularly from potential federal actions —suggest a need for a more proactive approach.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5044

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - Consistent with these trends, collections from the sales tax and corporation tax (adjusted for recent policy changes) have posted below ‑average growth in recent months. Income Tax, Fueled by Exuberance Over Artificial Intelligence (AI), Remains Lone Bright Spot.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - Should a stock market downturn occur, income tax revenues would fall considerably. These risks are severe enough that not incorporating them into this year ’s budget, as the Governor proposes, would put the state on precarious footing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101