How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2025-26 Budget: California Spending Plan Series [Publication Details]

Oct 16, 2025 - The 2025-26 Budget: California Spending Plan Series [Publication Details] Translate Our Website This Google ™ translation feature provided on the Legislative Analyst's Office (LAO) website is for informational purposes only.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5105

^[PDF] Economic and Budget Developments

The Gov- ernor also deleted $26 million from the com- munity colleges earmarked for program im- provement, and set aside the funds for other purposes, consistent with Proposition 98 fund- ing requirements.
https://lao.ca.gov/reports/1996/update_california_7-1996.pdf

^[PDF] HMOs and Rural California

In those rural areas where these steps are not enough to attract HMOs, we identify ways com- munities can develop their own health care sys- tems based on the experience of one rural California county. ■ August 8, 2002 2 L E G I S L A T I V E A N A L Y S T ’ S O F F I C E A N L A O R E P O R T INTRODUCTION How and Why the LAO Conducted This Study Chapter 208,
https://lao.ca.gov/2002/hmos_rural_ca/8-02_hmos_rural_ca.pdf

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - For California, the dot ‑com era —when stocks rose and then fell precipitously in response to widespread adoption of the internet —offers the most salient example. The internet has proven to be a transformative technology and, yet, the stock market ’s initial reaction was clearly overly exuberant.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

^[PDF] Performance Budgeting Pilot Project

. ~ Proposed measures do not, for the most part, allow the Legislature to evaluate the DPR's progress from one year to the next with much consistency, because of the absence of baseline data or performance com- mitments which are good for only one year. ~ The administration's 1996-97 goal to have the DPR's entire program expressed in terms of budgeted funds and results is
https://lao.ca.gov/reports/1995/performance_budgeting_pilot_project_(s)_subcommittee_2.pdf

^[PDF] Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

We estimate that revenue losses, in inflation-adjusted terms, totaled roughly $40 billion in the 1990s (averaging $8 billion per year across five years), $80 billion in the early 2000s ($26 billion per year across three years), and about $115 billion during and after the Great Recession ($30 billion per year across four years).
https://lao.ca.gov/reports/2018/3769/prepare-for-recession-030718.pdf

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - We estimate that revenue losses, in inflation ‑adjusted terms, totaled roughly $ 40  b illion in the 1990s (averaging $ 8  b illion per year across five years), $ 80  b illion in the early 2000s ($ 26  b illion per year across three years), and about $ 115  b illion during and after the Great Recession ($ 30  b illion per year across four years).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769