California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - The disagreement is not about whether revenues are currently strong or even whether the market conditions giving rise to them are susceptible to a downturn. Rather, the issue is whether a wait-and-see approach suffices or whether this long-standing risk to California ’s finances should be incorporated into the state ’s budget assumptions from the start.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - Figure 3 General Fund Condition Under Fiscal Outlook (In Millions)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

^[PDF] CalWORKs Program Overview Hearing

CalWORKs Program Overview Hearing Moving Toward Self-Sufficiency: Allowable Activities LAO 60 YEARS OF SERVICE L E G I S L A T I V E A N A L Y S T ’ S O F F I C E March 9, 2005 3 " One-Parent Family: A family is eligible for the one-parent com- ponent of the program if it includes a child who is financially needy due to the death, incapacity, or continued absence of one or both
https://lao.ca.gov/handouts/socservices/2005/CalWORKs_program_030905.pdf

^[PDF] Economic and Budget Developments

The Gov- ernor also deleted $26 million from the com- munity colleges earmarked for program im- provement, and set aside the funds for other purposes, consistent with Proposition 98 fund- ing requirements.
https://lao.ca.gov/reports/1996/update_california_7-1996.pdf

^[PDF] HMOs and Rural California

In preparing this report, we obtained infor- mation from a variety of sources: ➢ We conducted interviews with repre- sentatives of a diverse set of key players in the rural health care com- munity, including beneficiaries, health operated health care systems, the California Medical Association, health policy researchers, state health care programs such as the Medi-Cal Program and
https://lao.ca.gov/2002/hmos_rural_ca/8-02_hmos_rural_ca.pdf

^[PDF] UPDATE MAY 1997

While some of the caseload-related savings could be offset by higher costs related to federal assumptions and other factors, it appears that the General Fund condition has im- proved significantly since January.
https://lao.ca.gov/1997/cal_update/may_97_calupdate.pdf