California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2023-24 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor's May Revision

May 15, 2023 - CARB = California Air Resources Board; BHC= Baldwin Hills Conservancy; CalRecycle = California Department of Resources, Recycling and Recovery; CalFire = California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection; CCC = California Conservation Corps; CNRA = California Natural Resources Agency; CPUC = California Public Utilities Commission; CVC = Coachella Valley Conservancy; DFW = D epartment of Fish
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4769/1

The 2024-25 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2024 - The 2024-25 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget $3,135 $4,677 BCH = Secretary for Business, Consumer Services, and Housing Agency; HHAPP = Homeless Housing, Assistance, and Prevention Program; FHC = Family Homelessness Challenge Grants; BSCC  =  Board of State and Community Corrections; CalFire = California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection; CalRecycle = California Department of
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4825/1

The 2021-22 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor’s May Revision

May 17, 2021 - CalEPA = California Environmental Protection Agency; CalFire = California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection; CalRecycle = California Department of Resources Recycling and Recovery; CARB = California Air Resources Board; ZEV = zero ‑emission vehicle; CCC = California Conservation Corps; CEC = California Energy Commission; CNRA = California Natural Resources Agency; DFW = Department of
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4432/7

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - For California, the dot ‑com era —when stocks rose and then fell precipitously in response to widespread adoption of the internet —offers the most salient example. The internet has proven to be a transformative technology and, yet, the stock market ’s initial reaction was clearly overly exuberant.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2023-24 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 16, 2023 - CalFire = California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection; CARB = California Air Resources Board; FARMER = Funding Agricultural Replacement Measures for Emission Reductions; CEC = California Energy Commission; Go ‑Biz = Governor ’s Office of Business and Economic Development; DOC = Department of Conservation; DTSC = Department of Toxic Substances Control; DWR = Department
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4788/4

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Whether or Not to Tap Reserves to Solve Estimated Budget Problem Emerges as Key Fiscal Decision Facing California’s Legislature

Apr 19, 2023 - Other downturns, such as the 2001 so-called dot-com recession, had severe fiscal implications while inflicting somewhat milder economic damage. The 2008 Great Recession had brutal effects on both the state ’s economy and budget.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4762

The 2021-22 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 27, 2021 - CalEPA = California Environmental Protection Agency; CalFire = California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection; CalRecycle = California Department of Resources Recycling and Recovery; CARB = California Air Resources Board; ZEV = zero ‑emission vehicle; CEC = California Energy Commission; CNRA = California Natural Resources Agency; DFW = Department of Fish and Wildlife; DOC
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4448/1