How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The Nasdaq composite, which includes the California headquartered companies Nvidia, Google, Facebook, Apple, AMD, and Broadcom, has doubled since 2023. The meteoric rise in the value of these companies has led to sizable gains for their investors and their employees via stock options, which has led income tax collections to grow at double-digit rates.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The Nasdaq composite, which includes the California headquartered companies Nvidia, Google, Facebook, Apple, AMD, and Broadcom, has doubled since 2023. The meteoric rise in the value of these companies has led to sizable gains for their investors and their employees via stock options, which has led income tax collections to grow at double-digit rates.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

^[PDF] The 1989-90 Budget: Perspectives and Issues

:~Jl~,ct~diJQ'Y~r~11;l,lJ.9;~P.J'siE~tg(;lcJ¢Y~1~"i.()f..capital ,g~,t!!,~!p.S2m¥"r,~~~z,~gJ~K~t:lt~J~~p~y~r~.Foods which had been a.ppi-o- ,pHated; to 'the SFEU were' redireCted to cover the shortfall, and' several actions were taken by the administration to reduce or delay expenditures.
https://lao.ca.gov/analysis/1989/pandi_89_part1.pdf

The 2022-23 Budget: Temporary Limits on Business Tax Provisions

Jan 26, 2022 - The 2022-23 Budget: Temporary Limits on Business Tax Provisions The 2022‑23 Budget Temporary Limits on Business Tax Provisions Summary. This post provides background on temporary limits on the use of net operating loss deductions and business tax credits.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4500

Frequently asked questions concerning Facebook and California's General Fund

Aug 1, 2012 - Facebook 's IPO  clearly is resulting in significant new tax revenue for the state. Accordingly, given the goal of developing an accurate revenue estimate, an effort to estimate Facebook-related r evenues was necessary.
https://lao.ca.gov/Recommendations/Details/618

LAO commentary on Facebook IPO and state revenue forecasts

May 15, 2012 - State tax revenue estimates regarding Facebook, therefore, require numerous assumptions. Because of these factors, there is a large margin of error surrounding both our Facebook revenue estimates and those of the administration.
https://lao.ca.gov/Recommendations/Details/596

The 2022-23 Budget: California’s Fiscal Outlook

Nov 17, 2021 - Operating Surplus of $5 Billion in 2022 ‑23. In addition to the factors described above, which are revisions to the 2021 ‑22 Budget Act , our outlook anticipates the state will have an additional $5.2 billion operating surplus in 2022 ‑23.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4472

Summary of LAO Findings and Recommendations on the 2012-13 Budget

Essentially, to avoid “double counting ” the Facebook income, this means that both of our revenue estimates consider the economy without Facebook and then add PIT revenues on top of those estimates to account for the IPO.
https://lao.ca.gov/laoapp/budgetlist/PublicSearch.aspx?PolicyAreaNum=70&KeyCol=596&Yr=2012

Background information on LAO's May 2012 economic and revenue forecasts

May 18, 2012 - Figure 6 compares the LAO May 2012 revenue estimate related to the Facebook IPO with those in other recent forecasts. The IPO was announced in February and thus was not included in the Governor ’s January 2012 forecast. ( Additional information on our May 2012 Facebook IPO revenue forecast was published on this website on May 15.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Recommendations/Details/599

The 2026-27 Budget: California Student Aid Commission

Feb 17, 2026 - From 2022 ‑23 through 2024 ‑25, CSAC determined what percentage of each student ’s remaining costs to cover based on the annual MCS appropriation. In 2022 ‑23, award coverage was 26  percent, followed by 36  percent in 2023 ‑24, and 35  percent in 2024 ‑25.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5127