California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - Subscribe | California State Legislature | Online Voter Registration | Privacy Policy | Accessibility Legislative Analyst's Office | The California Legislature's Nonpartisan Fiscal and Policy Advisor 925 L Street, Suite 1000 Sacramento, CA 95814 | (916) 445-4656
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Whether or Not to Tap Reserves to Solve Estimated Budget Problem Emerges as Key Fiscal Decision Facing California’s Legislature

Apr 19, 2023 - Other downturns, such as the 2001 so-called dot-com recession, had severe fiscal implications while inflicting somewhat milder economic damage. The 2008 Great Recession had brutal effects on both the state ’s economy and budget.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4762

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - For California, the dot ‑com era —when stocks rose and then fell precipitously in response to widespread adoption of the internet —offers the most salient example. The internet has proven to be a transformative technology and, yet, the stock market ’s initial reaction was clearly overly exuberant.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2025-26 Budget: California Spending Plan Series [Publication Details]

Oct 16, 2025 - Each year, our office publishes California Spending Plan, a series of publications that summarize the annual state budget. The flagship report of this series, Overview of the Spending Plan, is presented here along with short online posts that focus on major areas and features of the 2025-26 budget package. As the posts become available, we will add them below.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5105

The 2025-26 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan

Oct 16, 2025 - In addition to this report, we will release a series of issue ‑specific, online posts that give more detail on the major actions in the budget package. The Budget Problem For the third year in a row, the state faced a budget problem, or deficit.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5079

Federal Spending in California

Jan 18, 2017 - Related Resources We published an initial set of online posts estimating and exploring federal expenditures in California on January 18, 2017. Here, we add additional, related resources as we develop them.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3531

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2023-24 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor's May Revision

May 15, 2023 - Subscribe | California State Legislature | Online Voter Registration | Privacy Policy | Accessibility Legislative Analyst's Office | The California Legislature's Nonpartisan Fiscal and Policy Advisor 925 L Street, Suite 1000 Sacramento, CA 95814 | (916) 445-4656
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4769/1

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Assessment

Feb 15, 2023 - Three of those —the recession in the early 1990s, the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s, and the Great Recession —resulted in large revenue shortfalls and ensuing multiyear deficits, even for some years after each recession ended.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4687

The 2025-26 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor's May Revision

May 17, 2025 - Online Appendices 1 and 2 provide a complete list of solutions by program area. Spending‑Related Solutions Reductions. Under our definition, a spending reduction occurs when the Governor proposes spending less than what is required under current law or policy —more commonly referred to as a spending cut.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5044