How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - Revenues regained their nominal levels in 55 months after the dot-com bubble, 53 months following the global financial crisis, and 40 months after the 2022 rate hike drawdown. Multi-year revenue declines amplify the strain on the state budget during major market downturns.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - Revenues regained their nominal levels in 55 months after the dot-com bubble, 53 months following the global financial crisis, and 40 months after the 2022 rate hike drawdown. Multi-year revenue declines amplify the strain on the state budget during major market downturns.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: Judicial Branch

Feb 11, 2026 - This is less than the $106  million the trial courts could have retained under the current 3  percent cap. Background Judicial Branch Has Extensive Facility Needs. The judicial branch currently manages around 430 facilities across all 58 counties.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5113

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: Supplemental Security Income/State Supplementary Payment (SSI/SSP) Program

Mar 3, 2026 - During this time period, the average FMR for an efficiency unit in Californian has grown by 106  percent (compared to 41  percent growth for the maximum SSI/SSP grants for individuals). Similarly, the FMR for a one-bedroom unit has grown by 95  percent (compared to 42  percent growth for the maximum SSI/SSP grants for couples).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5148

The 2026-27 Budget: California State University

Feb 24, 2026 - The total marginal cost (state and student shares combined) of increasing resident undergraduate enrollment by 1  percent in 2026 ‑27 is $58  million. Provide more funding for student financial aid. Specifically, CSU plans to designate $67  million for this purpose.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5142

The 2026-27 Budget: Proposition 4 Spending Plan

Feb 10, 2026 - Trailer bill language adopted in Chapter  106 of 2025 (A B  149 , Committee on Budget) also allowed state agencies and departments to use the emergency rulemaking process under the Administrative Procedure Act to develop and adopt their bond program guidelines and selection criteria.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5115

Cannabis Tax Revenue Update (2025 Q4) [EconTax Blog]

Feb 26, 2026 - Chapter 56 of 2022 (AB 195, Committee on Budget) eliminated the cultivation tax on July 1, 2022. Preliminary Total for Fourth Quarter of 2025: $145 Million. The administration currently estimates that retail excise tax revenue was $145 million in the fourth quarter of calendar year 2025 (October through December).
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/851

Cannabis Tax Revenue Update (2025 Q4) [EconTax Blog]

Feb 26, 2026 - Chapter 56 of 2022 (AB 195, Committee on Budget) eliminated the cultivation tax on July 1, 2022. Preliminary Total for Fourth Quarter of 2025: $145 Million. The administration currently estimates that retail excise tax revenue was $145 million in the fourth quarter of calendar year 2025 (October through December).
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/851