How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - The current discrepancy over the size of the state ’s budget deficit —$18  billion under the Legislative Analyst ’s Office estimate versus $3  billion in the Governor ’s budget —fits squarely within that pattern.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: Judicial Branch

Feb 11, 2026 - This is less than the $106  million the trial courts could have retained under the current 3  percent cap. Background Judicial Branch Has Extensive Facility Needs. The judicial branch currently manages around 430 facilities across all 58 counties.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5113

The 2026-27 Budget: California State University

Feb 24, 2026 - It also would provide CSU with its remaining 3  percent ongoing base increase ($151  million) associated with the 2025 ‑26 compact payment in  2028 ‑29. CSU Anticipates Receiving Additional Tuition Revenue in 2026 ‑27.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5142

The 2026-27 Budget: In-Home Supportive Services

Mar 18, 2026 - Over the next eight years, growth rates fluctuated between 3  percent and 8  percent, until reaching a peak growth rate of 10.2  percent and 10.4  percent in 2001 ‑02 and 2002 ‑03, respectively. Caseload growth then hovered between 4.5  percent and 8  percent for the next six years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5166

The 2026-27 Budget: California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation

Feb 23, 2026 - Figure  8 shows the goals and accompanying selected actions. The Receiver ’s initial estimated cost to begin implementing the action plan is $41.4  million annually. The main drivers of these costs are (1)  salary increases for mental health staff ($25.3  million), (2)  establishing the Office of the Receiver ($8.2  million), and (3)  creating resource teams to support staff working in inpatient units ($6.7  million).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5137

California New Car Registrations: February 2026 [EconTax Blog]

Apr 7, 2026 - Seasonally adjusted new car registrations dropped 8 percent from September 2025 to December 2025. After growing just 1 percent from December to February, registrations are still 5 percent below the average level over the last couple of years.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/855

The 2026-27 Budget: Re-Envisioning State Education Governance

Mar 18, 2026 - Introduction California operates the nation ’s largest public school system, comprising 937 school districts, 1,257 charter schools, and 58 county offices of education. This year, these local agencies will educate nearly 5.8  million students, employ around 700,000 teachers and staff, and spend nearly $150  billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5165