California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - The added risk variable weighs on the range of revenue outcomes that we view as most plausible. The middle of the range, which becomes our main revenue forecast, is thus lower than if we did not include the stock market risk indicator.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements

Feb 20, 2026 - Our recent revenue post suggests an improvement in revenues of around $5 billion relative to the Governor’s budget estimates. Under the state’s constitutional budget formulas, a revenue increase of this magnitude would translate, very roughly, into a $2.5 billion improvement in the budget bottom line.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5133

The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements [Publication Details]

Feb 20, 2026 - The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements [Publication Details] Translate Our Website This Google ™ translation feature provided on the Legislative Analyst's Office (LAO) website is for informational purposes only.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5133

Revenue Volatility and California’s Reserve Policy [Publication Details]

Feb 18, 2026 - Revenue Volatility and California’s Reserve Policy [Publication Details] Translate Our Website This Google ™ translation feature provided on the Legislative Analyst's Office (LAO) website is for informational purposes only.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5125

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - If revenues fall short of their projections, the state’s settle‑up obligation would decline. We understand this proposal is intended, in part, to acknowledge revenue risks and avoid unintentionally spending more than the minimum requirement if revenues decline and the requirement drops.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk [Publication Details]

Jan 23, 2026 - California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk [Publication Details] Translate Our Website This Google ™ translation feature provided on the Legislative Analyst's Office (LAO) website is for informational purposes only.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5104