How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: Governor’s Sustainable Aviation Fuel Tax Credit Proposal

Feb 24, 2026 - Additionally, the administration projects the credit could grow over time, potentially reaching about $300  million annually —nearly doubling the reductions and corresponding fiscal and programmatic impacts.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5139

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: In-Home Supportive Services

Mar 18, 2026 - The state receives an enhanced federal reimbursement rate for many IHSS recipients who receive services as a result of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act expansion (90  percent federal reimbursement rate) and the Community First Choice Option waiver (56  percent federal reimbursement rate).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5166

The 2026-27 Budget: Bureau for Private Postsecondary Education

Mar 25, 2026 - The largest of these fees is an annual licensing fee, which accounts for more than 90  percent of the revenue in the BPPE Fund. This annual fee is currently set at 0.55  percent of each campus ’s total revenue from California students, with a minimum fee of $2,500 and a maximum fee of $60,000 per campus.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5169

The 2026-27 Budget: Department of Developmental Services

Mar 13, 2026 - The APD process allows the state to request a 90  percent match in federal funding (rather than California ’s standard 50  percent match) to design, develop, and install IT systems that enable the state to more efficiently administer Medicaid benefits.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5157

The 2026-27 Budget: Child Welfare

Mar 3, 2026 - The administration estimates that implementing the Tiered Rate Structure will cost more than $300  million General Fund in 2027-28, $500  million in 2028-29, and $700  million General Fund in 2029-30 (with some potential growth thereafter and ongoing).
https://lao.ca.gov/publications/report/5147

The 2026-27 Budget: Supplemental Security Income/State Supplementary Payment (SSI/SSP) Program

Mar 3, 2026 - Statute required the Department of Finance to estimate what percentage grant increase could be supported by a half-year cost of $291  million in 2021-22 (estimated to be about $580  million in 2022-23), a half-year cost of $150  million in 2022-23 (estimated to be about $300  million in 2023-24), and a half-year cost of $146  million in 2023-24 (estimated to be about $292  million in 2024-25).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5148

The 2026-27 Budget: California State University

Feb 24, 2026 - Almost 90  percent of this increase ($176  million) is due to the planned rise in CSU ’s tuition charges. Tuition charges are set at $6,838 for resident undergraduate students in 2026 ‑27, reflecting a $388 increase from 2025 ‑26.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5142