California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - This differs from the approach taken by the Governor. While the Governor ’s budget describes the financial markets as a leading risk to the budget and assumes that stock market appreciation slows, it does not explicitly factor the risk of a market downturn into its revenue estimates.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - Taken together, the budget solutions in the Governor ’s budget result in an improvement in the budget ’s bottom line by $9  billion. Ongoing, the Governor ’s spending ‑related solutions provide $5  billion in savings within a few years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101