How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - Moreover, investors have been aggressive in taking on high levels of margin debt (borrowing to buy stocks), which has reached approximately three times the historical norm. These and other indicators are at levels previously only seen at times when the market was approaching a peak before entering a period of retrenchment.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - If such changes affect company profits or employment levels in California, it would affect state and local tax revenues. Whether this woul d occur is uncertain. Summary of Major Fiscal Effects. The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: University of California

Feb 26, 2026 - UC Spending Has Outpaced Inflation Over Past Ten Years. As Figure   7 shows, UC ’s core spending has grown faster than inflation over the past ten years. Over this period, core spending grew at an average annual rate of 4.3   percent compared to an average annual inflation rate of 3.3   percent over the same period.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5143

California New Car Registrations: February 2026 [EconTax Blog]

Apr 7, 2026 - California New Car Registrations: February 2026 [EconTax Blog] California New Car Registrations: February 2026 April 7, 2026 Seth Kerstein As discussed in an earlier post , new car purchases can be a useful, timely economic indicator.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/855

California New Car Registrations: February 2026 [EconTax Blog]

Apr 7, 2026 - California New Car Registrations: February 2026 [EconTax Blog] California New Car Registrations: February 2026 April 7, 2026 Seth Kerstein As discussed in an earlier post , new car purchases can be a useful, timely economic indicator.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/855

The 2026-27 Budget: California State University

Feb 24, 2026 - The state pays costs for the employer contribution associated with CSU’s 2013‑14 payroll level. CSU pays the employer contribution for any payroll growth above that level. The state adopted this arrangement in 2013‑14 to provide CSU with a stronger fiscal incentive to contain staffing costs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5142

The 2026-27 Budget: In-Home Supportive Services

Mar 18, 2026 - Figure 7
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5166

The 2026-27 Budget: California Community Colleges

Mar 5, 2026 - Staffing Levels Have Rebounded Since Pandemic. At the start of the pandemic, community college districts decreased their staffing levels in response to steep enrollment declines. Over the past three years, however, staffing has gradually rebounded.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5150