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The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements

Feb 20, 2026 - The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements The 2026-27 Budget How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements Recent stock market performance continues to boost income tax collections. In our Fiscal Outlook , we strongly advised the Legislature to treat near-term strength in tax collections as temporary because we expect these gains to reverse.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5133

The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements [Publication Details]

Feb 20, 2026 - The LAO is unable to guarantee the accuracy of this translation and is therefore not liable for any inaccurate information resulting from the translation application tool. Choose your language:
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5133

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The four major downturns were more severe, with income tax declines ranging from 17 percent to 30 percent (average of 24 percent). Perhaps more concerning, income tax revenues stayed depressed for years following major downturns.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The four major downturns were more severe, with income tax declines ranging from 17 percent to 30 percent (average of 24 percent). Perhaps more concerning, income tax revenues stayed depressed for years following major downturns.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - That said, recent budgets have set the SFEU bet ween $3.5  billion and $4.5  billion, so the Governor ’s budget proposal to set the balance to $4.5  billion is generally in line with recent policy.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - Money returned to the General Fund can be spent on a much wider array of programs than those supported by the Cannabis Tax Fund. Consequently, shifting enforcement costs from the Cannabis Tax Fund to the General Fund is inefficient.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

Oversight of certain nonprofit charities and related entities. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - If a member of the public wins their case, they may keep 25 percent to 50 percent of any civil penalties or other money awarded as well as attorney fees and costs. In contrast, an entity that wins would not be entitled to attorney fees and costs unless the court found the case had been filed unreasonably.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-032

The 2026-27 Budget: Contract to Achieve Operational Efficiencies

Mar 10, 2026 - Although, as we understand it, many of the changes are unlikely to require law changes and may be more administrative in nature, the Legislature should have a high-level understanding of how those changes may impact programs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5156

Prohibit new taxes on financial assets and other personal property. [Ballot]

Jan 27, 2026 - When and by how much future revenues would be reduced is unclear. Summary of Major Fiscal Effects. This measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Possibility that tax revenues will be lower in the future.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-041

The 2026-27 Budget: Higher Education Overview

Feb 5, 2026 - Recommend Not Getting Entangled With Higher Education Compacts Moving Forward. From the Legislature ’s perspective, little is to be gained from implementing a Governor ’s compact. The Legislature can still plan, establish performance goals, set spending priorities, make appropriations, support enrollment growth, and monitor the segments ’ outcomes —all without a Governor ’s compact.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5112