How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - Revenues regained their nominal levels in 55 months after the dot-com bubble, 53 months following the global financial crisis, and 40 months after the 2022 rate hike drawdown. Multi-year revenue declines amplify the strain on the state budget during major market downturns.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - Revenues regained their nominal levels in 55 months after the dot-com bubble, 53 months following the global financial crisis, and 40 months after the 2022 rate hike drawdown. Multi-year revenue declines amplify the strain on the state budget during major market downturns.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: Supplemental Security Income/State Supplementary Payment (SSI/SSP) Program

Mar 3, 2026 - As shown in Figure  5, from 2013-14 through 2020-21, the maximum combined SSI/SSP monthly grant amount for individuals (the bulk of the SSI/SSP caseload) and couples had increased on average by 1.2  percent annually —predominantly due to the provision of federal SSI COLAs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5148

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - However, Proposition  19 (2020) allows certain homeowners (such as people who are 55 years or older) to transfer their existing home value for property tax purposes to a new home anywhere in the state.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

The 2026-27 Budget: Child Care and State Preschool

Mar 19, 2026 - As a result of the pandemic, State Preschool enrollment experienced a significant decline of roughly 65,000 students in 2020 (Figure 3). While enrollment has increased since 2020, it remains significantly below pre‑pandemic levels.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5168

Cannabis Tax Revenue Update (2025 Q4) [EconTax Blog]

Feb 26, 2026 - Chapter 56 of 2022 (AB 195, Committee on Budget) eliminated the cultivation tax on July 1, 2022. Preliminary Total for Fourth Quarter of 2025: $145 Million. The administration currently estimates that retail excise tax revenue was $145 million in the fourth quarter of calendar year 2025 (October through December).
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/851

Cannabis Tax Revenue Update (2025 Q4) [EconTax Blog]

Feb 26, 2026 - Chapter 56 of 2022 (AB 195, Committee on Budget) eliminated the cultivation tax on July 1, 2022. Preliminary Total for Fourth Quarter of 2025: $145 Million. The administration currently estimates that retail excise tax revenue was $145 million in the fourth quarter of calendar year 2025 (October through December).
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/851

California New Car Registrations: January 2026 [EconTax Blog]

Mar 11, 2026 - For example, registrations in January 2026 were 15 percent lower than in January 2020.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/853