The 2026-27 Budget: In-Home Supportive Services

Mar 18, 2026 - As a result, in 2019 ‑20, the 2017 MOE was eliminated and replaced with the current IHSS MOE structure —referred to as the 2019 IHSS MOE. As seen in Figure  7 , the 2019 IHSS MOE reduced the base county costs in 2019 ‑20 to roughly $1.6  billion, decreasing IHSS county costs by roughly $300  million relative to 2018 ‑19.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5166

The 2026-27 Budget: CalWORKs

Feb 18, 2026 - TANF and Related MOE Spending Involve More Than Just CalWORKs. The state utilizes the flexibility provided by federal law by allocating TANF funds to a number of programs beyond CalWORKs. The state also counts significant state expenditures outside of CalWORKs toward meeting its MOE requirement.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5122

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033