How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: Child Care and State Preschool [Publication Details]

Mar 19, 2026 - In this brief, we assess the Governor’s 2026-27 proposals for child care and State Preschool and provide associated recommendations.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5168

The 2026-27 Budget: Child Care and State Preschool

Mar 19, 2026 - In 2023 ‑24, the state redirected funding associated with the statutory COLA for all programs to cover costs of the monthly cost of care plus payments. In 2025 ‑26, the state used the estimated cost of the statutory COLA to provide a uniform increase in monthly cost of care plus payments to all providers.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5168

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: California Highway Patrol Proposals [Publication Details]

Mar 6, 2026 - In this post, we assess the Governor's California Highway Patrol budget proposals for (1) equipment and operating costs and (2) capital outlay projects.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5152

The 2026-27 Budget: California Highway Patrol Proposals

Mar 6, 2026 - Second, the department reports that it historically has used salary savings from vacancies to help cover additional operational costs. Department States That High Costs and Low Vacancy Rates Have Created Unique Cost Pressures … CHP states that it cannot depend on its historical approach to fund these activities —and therefore needs the proposed
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5152

The 2026-27 Budget: In-Home Supportive Services

Mar 18, 2026 - Primary Cost Driver: Cost Per Hour of Care Another component of cost growth in IHSS is growth in the cost per hour of care. When the cost of providing care increases, for example, due to increases in the minimum wage or overtime compensation, the cost of the program also increases.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5166

The 2026-27 Budget: Bureau for Private Postsecondary Education

Mar 25, 2026 - The appropriation is intended to mitigate BPPE ’s structural deficit by allowing it to repay a recent special fund loan it received to cover litigation costs. We recommend rejecting the proposal, as the existing special fund loan addresses BPPE ’s near-term costs and shifting those costs to the General Fund would come at the expense of supporting other core state programs or building fiscal resiliency.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5169