California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - Moreover, these deficit estimates do not account for a downturn. Were the markets to drop considerably, budget problems would be tens of billions of dollars larger, necessitating even deeper cuts and/or tax increases.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements

Feb 20, 2026 - For example, we recommend the Legislature: Do Not Suspend the $3  Billion True Up Into the Budget Stabilization Account (BSA). The Governor ’s budget proposes suspending a roughly $3  billion true-up deposit that otherwise would be required in 2025-26.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5133

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - Proposition  2 requires the state to make annual deposits into the Budget Stabilization Account (BSA), with amounts generally increasing when revenues —particularly those from capital gains —are higher.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101