Estimating the CalWORKs Take-Up Rate

Feb 2, 2021 - American Community Survey (ACS) Includes Most of the Information Needed to Estimate Eligibility. The ACS is an annual survey of more than 2  million households that is conducted by the federal Census Bureau.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4340

Comparing CalWORKs Take-Up Rates Across Demographic Groups

Feb 14, 2023 - Data Sources for Comparing Populations Data on California Work Opportunity and Responsibility to Kids (CalWORKs) ‑Eligible and Overall Populations Come From the American Community Survey (ACS). As described in our previous post , the ACS surveys a representative sample of more than 2 million households and contains sufficient economic data to allow us to estimate the number of individuals likely eligible for CalWORKs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4678

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

State Assistance to Businesses in Response to COVID-19

Jan 4, 2024 - We used ACS data to determine the share of residents of each zip code who are white, Black, Asian, or Hispanic/Latino. We define a zip code as “higher representation ” of a specific race or ethnicity if the zip code is above the 90th percentile among all other zip codes in terms of its percentage of that race or ethnicity.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4824

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: Re-Envisioning State Education Governance

Mar 18, 2026 - (The Legislature considered another measure to make the SPI an appointed position in 2023, but this proposal [AC A 9 by Assembly Member McCarty] was withdrawn by its author.) Six Major Studies Have Examined Governance Over the Last 30 Years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5165

The 2022-23 California Spending Plan: Human Services

Oct 21, 2022 - This post then describes aging-related budget ac tions in other state programs and departments and summarizes progress made in the 2022-23 budget to implement the policy goals and recommendations included in the Master Plan for Aging (MPA).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4640/5

The 2024-25 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Dec 7, 2023 - To maximize flexibility and mitigate disruption, some of these pullbacks could merit early ac tion in 2024. Identify Other Solutions State Might Have Some Cost Shift Options Remaining. Cost shifts occur when the state moves costs between fund sources or entities —for example, shifting spending from the General Fund to special funds or, as has been done in prior budgets, shifting costs from the state to local governments.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4819