How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Firearms and Ammunition Revenue Update (2025 Q2) [EconTax Blog]

Aug 18, 2025 - Preliminary Total for 2024-25: $58 Million. For firearm and ammunition excise tax returns filed for 2024-25, the total amount of tax due is $58 million —a bit lower than the budget package revenue assumption.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/836

The 2026-27 Budget: Community College Facilities

Mar 17, 2026 - Of the project proposals that districts submitted for 2026-27, 7 out of 27 eligible modernization projects (26  percent) are included in the Governor ’s budget, compared to 3 out of 8 eligible growth projects (38  percent).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5159

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - To fund its operations, the measure authorizes the commission to levy annual assessments on public benefit AI companies equal to 1 to 2 percent of their California gross revenue. Allows New Civil and Criminal Penalties and Private Enforcement.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2024-25 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2024 - About $8  billion of the Governor ’s spending ‑related solutions are delays. As a result, proposed spending is higher by $5  billion in 2025 ‑26, nearly $2  billion in 2026 ‑27, and roughly $1  billion in 2027 ‑28.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4825

Firearms and Ammunition Revenue Update (2025 Q3) [EconTax Blog]

Nov 18, 2025 - Current tax return data suggest that the total will be around $58 million. Preliminary Total for Third Quarter of 2025: $13 Million. For firearm and ammunition excise tax returns filed for the third quarter of 2025, the total amount of tax due is $13 million —slightly below the quarterly average in the first year of the program.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/842

Firearms and Ammunition Revenue Update (2025 Q3) [EconTax Blog]

Nov 18, 2025 - Current tax return data suggest that the total will be around $58 million. Preliminary Total for Third Quarter of 2025: $13 Million. For firearm and ammunition excise tax returns filed for the third quarter of 2025, the total amount of tax due is $13 million —slightly below the quarterly average in the first year of the program.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/842

The 2026-27 Budget: Community College Facilities [Publication Details]

Mar 17, 2026 - This post assesses the Governor’s proposals to fund the second batch of community college capital outlay projects under Proposition 2, an education facilities bond.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5159