California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - Whereas California’s labor market has stagnated over the last two years, the S&P 500 stock index has appreciated roughly 50 percent over the same period. And most of this increase has come from skyrocketing share prices among a handful of firms associated with innovations in Artificial Intelligence (AI).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

Firearms and Ammunition Revenue Update (2025 Q2) [EconTax Blog]

Aug 18, 2025 - Preliminary Total for 2024-25: $58 Million. For firearm and ammunition excise tax returns filed for 2024-25, the total amount of tax due is $58 million —a bit lower than the budget package revenue assumption.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/836

Local taxes. [Ballot]

Aug 14, 2025 - Long-standing state law permits California ’s 58 counties to impose and collect a tax on the transfer of ownership in real estate. This is known as a documentary transfer tax. The tax is limited to 55 cents per $500 in property sale (or 0.11  percent).
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-006

Local taxes. [Ballot]

Jul 1, 2025 - Long-standing state law permits California ’s 58 counties to impose and collect a tax on the transfer of ownership in real estate. This is known as a documentary transfer tax. The tax is limited to 55 cents per $500 in property sale (or 0.11 percent).
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-005

Local taxes. [Ballot]

Jul 1, 2025 - Long-standing state law permits California ’s 58 counties to impose and collect a tax on the transfer of ownership in real estate. This is known as a documentary transfer tax. The tax is limited to 55 cents per $500 in property sale (or 0.11 percent).
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-004

The 2026-27 Budget: California State University

Feb 24, 2026 - From 2019 ‑20 to 2024 ‑25, spending for institutional financial aid increased by $118  million (15  percent), largely as a result of tuition increases. When CSU increases its tuition charges, it intends to fully cover the higher charges for most SUG recipients.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5142

Firearms and Ammunition Revenue Update (2025 Q3) [EconTax Blog]

Nov 18, 2025 - Current tax return data suggest that the total will be around $58 million. Preliminary Total for Third Quarter of 2025: $13 Million. For firearm and ammunition excise tax returns filed for the third quarter of 2025, the total amount of tax due is $13 million —slightly below the quarterly average in the first year of the program.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/842

Firearms and Ammunition Revenue Update (2025 Q3) [EconTax Blog]

Nov 18, 2025 - Current tax return data suggest that the total will be around $58 million. Preliminary Total for Third Quarter of 2025: $13 Million. For firearm and ammunition excise tax returns filed for the third quarter of 2025, the total amount of tax due is $13 million —slightly below the quarterly average in the first year of the program.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/842