California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - For California, the dot ‑com era —when stocks rose and then fell precipitously in response to widespread adoption of the internet —offers the most salient example. The internet has proven to be a transformative technology and, yet, the stock market ’s initial reaction was clearly overly exuberant.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

Supplemental Report of the 2023-24 Budget Act [Publication Details]

Sep 29, 2023 - The Supplemental Report of the 2023-24 Budget Act contains statements of legislative intent and requests for studies that were adopted by the Legislature during deliberations on the 2023-24 budget package.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4803

Supplemental Report of the 2022-23 Budget Act [Publication Details]

Sep 27, 2022 - The Supplemental Report of the 2022-23 Budget Act contains statements of legislative intent and requests for studies that were adopted by the Legislature during deliberations on the 2022-23 budget package.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4627

Whether or Not to Tap Reserves to Solve Estimated Budget Problem Emerges as Key Fiscal Decision Facing California’s Legislature

Apr 19, 2023 - Other downturns, such as the 2001 so-called dot-com recession, had severe fiscal implications while inflicting somewhat milder economic damage. The 2008 Great Recession had brutal effects on both the state ’s economy and budget.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4762

Supplemental Report of the 2025-26 Budget Act [Publication Details]

Oct 6, 2025 - The Supplemental Report of the 2025-26 Budget Act contains statements of legislative intent and requests for studies that were adopted by the Legislature during deliberations on the 2025-26 budget package.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5078

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Assessment

Feb 15, 2023 - Three of those —the recession in the early 1990s, the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s, and the Great Recession —resulted in large revenue shortfalls and ensuing multiyear deficits, even for some years after each recession ended.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4687

Rethinking California's Reserve Policy

Apr 10, 2025 - In March of 2004, on the heels of the dot ‑com bust, voters passed Proposition  58, which created the Budget Stabilization Account (BSA). In the 2006 ‑07 budget, the Legislature deposited $472  million into the BSA and in 2007 ‑08 deposited $1.5  billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5028

Supplemental Report of the 2024-25 Budget Act [Publication Details]

Sep 11, 2024 - The Supplemental Report of the 2024-25 Budget Act contains statements of legislative intent and requests for studies that were adopted by the Legislature during deliberations on the 2024-25 budget package.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4927

The 2023-24 Budget: Considering Inflation's Effects on State Programs

Nov 16, 2022 - This brief takes a case study approach to examine how elevated inflation has already impacted—and could continue to impact—state spending programs. Consequently, while this analysis covers a large share of the budget, it is not comprehensive.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4647