California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - Whereas California’s labor market has stagnated over the last two years, the S&P 500 stock index has appreciated roughly 50 percent over the same period. And most of this increase has come from skyrocketing share prices among a handful of firms associated with innovations in Artificial Intelligence (AI).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - Revenues regained their nominal levels in 55 months after the dot-com bubble, 53 months following the global financial crisis, and 40 months after the 2022 rate hike drawdown. Multi-year revenue declines amplify the strain on the state budget during major market downturns.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - Revenues regained their nominal levels in 55 months after the dot-com bubble, 53 months following the global financial crisis, and 40 months after the 2022 rate hike drawdown. Multi-year revenue declines amplify the strain on the state budget during major market downturns.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

Local taxes. [Ballot]

Aug 14, 2025 - Long-standing state law permits California ’s 58 counties to impose and collect a tax on the transfer of ownership in real estate. This is known as a documentary transfer tax. The tax is limited to 55 cents per $500 in property sale (or 0.11  percent).
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-006

Local taxes. [Ballot]

Jul 1, 2025 - Long-standing state law permits California ’s 58 counties to impose and collect a tax on the transfer of ownership in real estate. This is known as a documentary transfer tax. The tax is limited to 55 cents per $500 in property sale (or 0.11 percent).
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-005

Local taxes. [Ballot]

Jul 1, 2025 - Long-standing state law permits California ’s 58 counties to impose and collect a tax on the transfer of ownership in real estate. This is known as a documentary transfer tax. The tax is limited to 55 cents per $500 in property sale (or 0.11 percent).
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-004

The 2024-25 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2024 - We Estimate the Administration Solved a Larger Budget Problem —$58   Billion. While the Governor cited a budget problem of $38  billion, we estimate the administration solved a budget problem of $58  billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4825

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - The stock market (S &P 500) has risen 50  percent in the last two years. Most of these gains come from the meteoric rise in the value of a handful of tech companies that investors believe will be major beneficiaries of recent advances in AI.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2021-22 Budget: California Arts Council

Feb 1, 2021 - According to CAC, it hopes to use the funds to engage around 500 artists and that artwork will be placed in all 58 c ounties to guarantee the largest possible reach. However, it has not provided estimates of the number of people that would be reached by the resulting artworks.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4337

Firearms and Ammunition Revenue Update (2025 Q2) [EconTax Blog]

Aug 18, 2025 - Preliminary Total for 2024-25: $58 Million. For firearm and ammunition excise tax returns filed for 2024-25, the total amount of tax due is $58 million —a bit lower than the budget package revenue assumption.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/836