How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2025-26 Budget: Department of Justice

Feb 19, 2025 - In this brief, we analyze the Governor’s budget proposals for the Department of Justice related to (1) the Bureau of Forensic Services and (2) firearm-related workload.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4972

The 2025-26 Budget: Department of Justice [Publication Details]

Feb 19, 2025 - In this brief, we analyze the Governor’s budget proposals for the Department of Justice related to (1) the Bureau of Forensic Services and (2) firearm-related workload.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4972

The 2026-27 Budget: Streamlining California’s Affordable Housing Funding System

Mar 6, 2026 - In reality, the amount of such bonds (and thus 4  percent tax credits) needed for HDFC projects will be dependent on several factors —some which cannot be anticipated at this time —and could vary widely.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5154

The 2025-26 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 24, 2025 - As such, the Governor ’s approach to the May Revision reflects the reality of the budget challenge before the Legislature. While the Governor focuses solutions in Medi-Cal —constituting $11  billion of the total $16  billion in solutions —the Legislature could pursue a different mix of spending and/or revenue solutions than those proposed.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5052

The 2026-27 Budget: Proposed Zero-Emission Vehicle Incentive

Feb 24, 2026 - Given this fiscal reality, we expect that the Legislature will need to make very difficult budget decisions in the years to come. Governor’s Proposal Proposes $200   Million and Budget Trailer Legislation to Create New ZEV Incentive Program.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5140

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2023-24 California Spending Plan: Human Services

Nov 6, 2023 - The new methodology includes updated assumptions and variables such as application volume, case types, and current eligibili ty worker costs. Based on the revised formula, the spending plan includes an additional $407  million ($160  million General Fund) in 2023-24 for county CalFresh administration activities as compared to the 2022-23 Budget Act .
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4812/3