How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: Streamlining California’s Affordable Housing Funding System

Mar 6, 2026 - In reality, the amount of such bonds (and thus 4  percent tax credits) needed for HDFC projects will be dependent on several factors —some which cannot be anticipated at this time —and could vary widely.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5154

The 2026-27 Budget: Proposed Zero-Emission Vehicle Incentive

Feb 24, 2026 - Given this fiscal reality, we expect that the Legislature will need to make very difficult budget decisions in the years to come. Governor’s Proposal Proposes $200   Million and Budget Trailer Legislation to Create New ZEV Incentive Program.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5140

The 2026-27 Budget: Framework for Approaching the Natural Resources, Environmental Protection, and Agriculture Budget

Feb 10, 2026 - This report provides a framework to help the Legislature approach funding environment-related programs within the context of the state's budget challenges.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5116

Implementing California’s Child Welfare Prevention Services Program

Jan 28, 2026 - However, the reality is more complicated, with many factors that contribute to families ’ risk for child maltreatment —such as poverty —existing far outside of local child welfare agencies ’ control.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5106

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - For California, the dot ‑com era —when stocks rose and then fell precipitously in response to widespread adoption of the internet —offers the most salient example. The internet has proven to be a transformative technology and, yet, the stock market ’s initial reaction was clearly overly exuberant.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2025-26 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 24, 2025 - As such, the Governor ’s approach to the May Revision reflects the reality of the budget challenge before the Legislature. While the Governor focuses solutions in Medi-Cal —constituting $11  billion of the total $16  billion in solutions —the Legislature could pursue a different mix of spending and/or revenue solutions than those proposed.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5052