Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - History suggests that the stock market is prone to overreact to major technological advances, even if the technology itself turns out to be revolutionary. For California, the dot ‑com era —when stocks rose and then fell precipitously in response to widespread adoption of the internet —offers the most salient example.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2026-27 Budget: Department of Developmental Services [Publication Details]

Mar 13, 2026 - Analyzes the Governor’s budget for the Department of Developmental Services (DDS), with a focus on a budget proposal to continue planning the proposed Life Outcomes Improvement System (LOIS) information technology project, implementation of new H.R.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5157

The 2026-27 Budget: Department of Developmental Services

Mar 13, 2026 - Advancing consistency across RCs. Project Received Limited ‑Term Enhanced Federal Funding. In addition to $5.1  million General Fund allocated for IT project planning in 2025 ‑26, DDS also received enhanced funding from the federal government through the Advanced Planning Document (APD) process.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5157

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - In particular, the share of awards going to advanced manufacturing firms has greatly increased while the share going to professional services (for example, accounting, legal, and local business services) has significantly decreased.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

Oversight of certain frontier artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - Recently enacted state law, effective January 1, 2026, establishes requirements for companies that develop or train highly capable “frontier ” AI systems —generally advanced AI models with significant computational scale or capabilities.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-034

The 2026-27 Budget: Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges

Nov 19, 2025 - The advance payment would function like the opposite of a traditional payment deferral. Whereas a deferral provides up ‑front state savings but creates future costs and weakens district cash flow, the advance payment is an up ‑front state cost that allows future savings and improves district cash flow.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5093

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104