The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - As shown in Figure  1 , many signs of an overly exuberant stock market are present today: measures of whether stocks are “expensive ” are at historically high levels, investors are borrowing more to buy stocks, and households are more invested in the stock market than they have been in at least 70  years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This dynamic may be especially notable today. The current run-up in stock prices is similarly concentrated in Silicon Valley technology companies, raising the risk of an outsized revenue loss if that market corrects sharply.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This dynamic may be especially notable today. The current run-up in stock prices is similarly concentrated in Silicon Valley technology companies, raising the risk of an outsized revenue loss if that market corrects sharply.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

Online sports wagering. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2021 - This tax is applied to the amount a person bets. Additionally, the measure authorizes DOSBC to take va rious enforcement actions, including requiring people making such bets to register with DOSBC, requiring entities illegally offering online sports wagering to disclose the names of people who make wagers with them, and blocking access to illegal sites accepting sports wagers.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-017

The 2025-26 Budget: Department of Developmental Services

Mar 5, 2025 - Once the information in the Provider Directory is linked to RC service areas, the department could identify potential gaps in service availability throughout the  state. …But Is Only the First Step Towards Measuring Quality.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5008

Gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - Banking games generally involve players betting against the “house, ” who is a participant in the game with an interest in the outcome, and percentage games generally involve the house receiving a percentage of the money involved in the game.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-030

Five Guidelines for Using Revenue Forecasts [EconTax Blog]

Feb 20, 2025 - Such disconnects make it difficult to tell a clear and simple story about the link between the economy and state revenue.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/822

Five Guidelines for Using Revenue Forecasts [EconTax Blog]

Feb 20, 2025 - Such disconnects make it difficult to tell a clear and simple story about the link between the economy and state revenue.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/822

Tribal gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 27, 2021 - For those under the state law framework, the measure authorizes CGCC to develop and implement various regulations —such as the types of bets that can be offered, licensing requirements, and consumer protection requirements.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-039

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - In the case of the Cannabis Tax Program, we note: The administration has not presented any arguments linking the General Fund ’s share of costs to its share of indirect benefits. This is not part of a broad, systematic effort to allocate costs based on indirect benefits.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132