How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog] How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? March 9, 2026 Chas Alamo State Budget Is Heavily Reliant on Stock Market Earnings.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog] How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? March 9, 2026 Chas Alamo State Budget Is Heavily Reliant on Stock Market Earnings.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - Rather than broad-based economic growth, PIT strength has been fueled by a very bullish stock market. Whereas California’s labor market has stagnated over the last two years, the S&P 500 stock index has appreciated roughly 50 percent over the same period.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

2025 Update: Tech Company Stock Pay Accounts for One-Quarter of Withholding Growth So Far in 2025-26 [EconTax Blog]

Dec 3, 2025 - Tech Companies Often Include Stock Compensation as Part of Employees ’ Pay. Stock  compensation is a form a pay that provides employees stock shares in the company. There are several types of stock compensation.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/843

2025 Update: Tech Company Stock Pay Accounts for One-Quarter of Withholding Growth So Far in 2025-26 [EconTax Blog]

Dec 3, 2025 - Tech Companies Often Include Stock Compensation as Part of Employees ’ Pay. Stock  compensation is a form a pay that provides employees stock shares in the company. There are several types of stock compensation.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/843

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - As shown in Figure  1 , many signs of an overly exuberant stock market are present today: measures of whether stocks are “expensive ” are at historically high levels, investors are borrowing more to buy stocks, and households are more invested in the stock market than they have been in at least 70  years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2026-27 Budget: Proposition 98 Guarantee and K-12 Spending Plan

Feb 4, 2026 - Investors are borrowing large sums to buy stocks, and households are more invested in the stock market than at any time in at least 70 years. Historically, these signs have preceded stock market downturns.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5110

The 2026-27 Budget: Higher Education Overview

Feb 5, 2026 - New Higher Education Spending Is at Risk Given Stock Market Signals. The administration ’s higher revenue estimates are mainly driven by strong stock market performance. Certain factors signal the stock market might be approaching a peak.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5112

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - Stock Market Poses Serious Risk to Revenues. Several historically reliable signs suggest the stock market is overheated and at high risk of reversing course into a downturn in the next year or so. Should a stock market downturn occur, income tax revenues would fall considerably.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

The 2024-25 Budget: Preliminary May Revision Analysis for Child Welfare

May 24, 2024 - Passing only what is necessary this year would allow more time for the remaining stakeholder questions and policy issues to be worked out and give the Legislature the chance to assess whether the rates structure is in line with its vision for permanent CC R rates.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4909