California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - We have noted how following the dot-com bust and 2001 recession, California relied mostly on short-term solutions rather than realigning its structural imbalance. Consequently, the state went into the Great Recession a few years later with a structural deficit (and virtually no budget reserves), which greatly exacerbated the severity of the fiscal crisis that ensued.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - In  the budget window, for example, the administration proposes: (1)  reverting $71  million in unused EDDNext project funding early, and (2)  modifying In ‑Home Supportive Services (IHSS) eligibility to align with Medi ‑Cal, which provides $86  million in savings).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements

Feb 20, 2026 - For example, we recommend the Legislature: Do Not Suspend the $3  Billion True Up Into the Budget Stabilization Account (BSA). The Governor ’s budget proposes suspending a roughly $3  billion true-up deposit that otherwise would be required in 2025-26.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5133